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Antimicrobial Resistance (Amr)-Forecast For 30 Countries In Europe

Author

Listed:
  • M. Z. A. M. Jaffar

    (Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Faculty of Science, Universiti Putra Malaysia 43400 Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia.)

  • A. N. Zailan

    (Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Faculty of Science, Universiti Putra Malaysia 43400 Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia.)

Abstract

Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) has emerged among the most serious public health issues, prompting the creation of worldwide implementation strategies. In this study, the application of seasonal or time-series approaches was suggested for forecasting the unknown percentages of resistance towards other microbial groups for seven microorganisms. Annual data between 2012 and 2019 were acquired from European Centre for Disease Prevention, and Control (ECDC) reports. Microsoft Excel’s function, ‘FORECAST.ETS’, was used for prediction purposes. Then, a brief analysis was done on the forecasted results. Forecasting AMR’s percentage makes it possible to develop a strategy for dealing with any situation that may emerge.

Suggested Citation

  • M. Z. A. M. Jaffar & A. N. Zailan, 2021. "Antimicrobial Resistance (Amr)-Forecast For 30 Countries In Europe," Science Heritage Journal (GWS), Zibeline International Publishing, vol. 5(2), pages 44-48, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:zib:zbngws:v:5:y:2021:i:2:p:44-48
    DOI: 10.26480/gws.02.2021.44.48
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Broom, Alex & Kenny, Katherine & Kirby, Emma & Davis, Mark & Dodds, Susan & Post, Jeffrey & Broom, Jennifer, 2021. "The modern hospital executive, micro improvements, and the rise of antimicrobial resistance," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
    2. Abigail R Colson & Itamar Megiddo & Gerardo Alvarez-Uria & Sumanth Gandra & Tim Bedford & Alec Morton & Roger M Cooke & Ramanan Laxminarayan, 2019. "Quantifying uncertainty about future antimicrobial resistance: Comparing structured expert judgment and statistical forecasting methods," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(7), pages 1-18, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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