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What Can Decision Analysis Do for Invasive Species Management?

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  • Lynn A. Maguire

Abstract

Decisions about management of invasive species are difficult for all the reasons typically addressed by multiattribute decision analysis: uncertain outcomes, multiple and conflicting objectives, and many interested parties with differing views on both facts and values. This article illustrates how the tools of multiattribute analysis can improve management of invasive species, with an emphasis on making explicit the social values and preferences that must inform invasive species management. Risk assessment protocols developed previously for invasive species management typically suffer from two interacting flaws: (1) separating risk assessment from risk management, thus disrupting essential connections between the social values at stake in invasive species decisions and the scientific knowledge necessary to predict the likely impacts of management actions, and (2) relying on expert judgment about risk framed in qualitative and value‐laden terms, inadvertently mixing the expert's judgment about what is likely to happen with personal preferences. Using the values structuring and probability‐modeling elements of formal decision analysis can remedy these difficulties and make invasive species management responsive to both good science and public values. The management of feral pigs in Hawaiian ecosystems illustrates the need for such an integrated approach.

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  • Lynn A. Maguire, 2004. "What Can Decision Analysis Do for Invasive Species Management?," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 24(4), pages 859-868, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:riskan:v:24:y:2004:i:4:p:859-868
    DOI: 10.1111/j.0272-4332.2004.00484.x
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    1. Mark Borsuk & Robert Clemen & Lynn Maguire & Kenneth Reckhow, 2001. "Stakeholder Values and Scientific Modeling in the Neuse River Watershed," Group Decision and Negotiation, Springer, vol. 10(4), pages 355-373, July.
    2. Thomas, Michael H. & Randall, Alan, 2000. "Intentional introductions of nonindigenous species: a principal-agent model and protocol for revocable decisions," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 333-345, September.
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    1. Rogers, Abbie A. & Burton, Michael P. & Cleland, Jonelle A. & Rolfe, John C. & Meeuwig, Jessica J. & Pannell, David J., 2020. "Expert judgements and community values: preference heterogeneity for protecting river ecology in Western Australia," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 64(2), April.
    2. Iftikhar U. Sikder & Sanchita Mal‐Sarkar & Tarun K. Mal, 2006. "Knowledge‐Based Risk Assessment Under Uncertainty for Species Invasion," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 26(1), pages 239-252, February.
    3. James C. Felli & Rebecca A. Noel & Patrizia A. Cavazzoni, 2009. "A Multiattribute Model for Evaluating the Benefit-Risk Profiles of Treatment Alternatives," Medical Decision Making, , vol. 29(1), pages 104-115, January.
    4. Roberts, Michaela & Cresswell, Will & Hanley, Nick, 2018. "Prioritising Invasive Species Control Actions: Evaluating Effectiveness, Costs, Willingness to Pay and Social Acceptance," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 1-8.
    5. Robin Gregory & Graham Long, 2009. "Using Structured Decision Making to Help Implement a Precautionary Approach to Endangered Species Management," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 29(4), pages 518-532, April.
    6. Andrew M. Deines & Valerie C. Chen & Wayne G. Landis, 2005. "Modeling the Risks of Nonindigenous Species Introductions Using a Patch‐Dynamics Approach Incorporating Contaminant Effects as a Disturbance," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 25(6), pages 1637-1651, December.
    7. David C. Cook & Shuang Liu & Brendan Murphy & W. Mark Lonsdale, 2010. "Adaptive Approaches to Biosecurity Governance," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 30(9), pages 1303-1314, September.
    8. Vicki Bier, 2020. "The Role of Decision Analysis in Risk Analysis: A Retrospective," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(S1), pages 2207-2217, November.
    9. Terry Walshe & Mark Burgman, 2010. "A Framework for Assessing and Managing Risks Posed by Emerging Diseases," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 30(2), pages 236-249, February.

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