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Pricing dynamics of index options and index futures in Hong Kong before and during the Asian financial crisis

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  • Louis T. W. Cheng
  • Joseph K. W. Fung
  • Kam C. Chan

Abstract

This article studies the impact of the Asian financial crisis on index options and index futures markets in Hong Kong. We employed a time‐stamped transaction data set of the Hang Seng Index options and futures contracts that were traded on the Hong Kong Futures Exchange. The results show that during the crisis period, the arbitrage profits, and the standard deviations of these profits increased in both ex‐post and ex‐ante analyses. In a market turbulent time, market volatility brings a higher arbitrage profit level. However, despite the increased market volatility, the profitability of the arbitrage trades declined substantially with longer execution time lags in the ex‐ante analysis. This suggests that the HSI futures and options markets are mature and resilient. A multiple regression analysis on the ex‐post arbitrage profit also suggests that there were structural changes during the Asian financial crisis and the Hong Kong government intervention periods. © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 20: 145–166, 2000

Suggested Citation

  • Louis T. W. Cheng & Joseph K. W. Fung & Kam C. Chan, 2000. "Pricing dynamics of index options and index futures in Hong Kong before and during the Asian financial crisis," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(2), pages 145-166, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:20:y:2000:i:2:p:145-166
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    Cited by:

    1. Nguyen, Tien-Trung & Wu, Yang-Che & Ke, Mei-Chu & Liao, Tung Liang, 2022. "Can direct government intervention save the stock market?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 271-284.
    2. Huang, Shao’an & Qiu, Zhigang & Wang, Gaowang & Wang, Xiaodan, 2022. "Government intervention through informed trading in financial markets," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    3. Yi Huang & Jianjun Miao & Pengfei Wang, 2019. "Saving China’s Stock Market?," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 67(2), pages 349-394, June.
    4. Shuxin Guo, 2021. "Do futures lead the index under stress? Evidence from the 2015 Chinese market turmoil and its aftermath," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 91-110, January.
    5. Lam, Kin & Lean, Hooi Hooi & Wong, Wing-Keung, 2016. "Stochastic Dominance and Investors’ Behavior towards Risk: The Hong Kong Stocks and Futures Markets," MPRA Paper 74386, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Hou, Yang & Nartea, Gilbert, 2017. "Price Discovery in the Stock Index Futures Market: Evidence from the Chinese stock market crash," MPRA Paper 81995, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Hou, Yang (Greg) & Li, Steven, 2020. "Volatility and skewness spillover between stock index and stock index futures markets during a crash period: New evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 166-188.
    8. Fouad Jamaani & Manal Alidarous & Abdullah Al-Awadhi, 2021. "The Early Impact of Government Financial Intervention Policies and Cultural Secrecy on Stock Market Returns During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence From Developing Countries," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 12(2), pages 401-416, April.
    9. Singh, Vikkram & Roca, Eduardo & Li, Bin, 2021. "Effectiveness of policy interventions during financial crises in China and Russia: Lessons for the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 43(2), pages 253-277.
    10. Lee, Jaeram & Kang, Jangkoo & Ryu, Doojin, 2015. "Common deviation and regime-dependent dynamics in the index derivatives markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 1-22.
    11. Guo, Qi & Huang, Shao'an & Wang, Gaowang, 2024. "Stabilizing the Financial Markets through Communication and Informed Trading," MPRA Paper 120072, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Guo, Qi & Huang, Shao'an & Wang, Gaowang, 2022. "Stabilizing the Financial Markets through Informed Trading," MPRA Paper 115470, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Shailesh Rastogi & Chaitaly Athaley, 2019. "Volatility Integration in Spot, Futures and Options Markets: A Regulatory Perspective," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-15, June.

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