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A Single Composite Financial Stress Indicator And Its Real Impact In The Euro Area

Author

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  • Mevlud Islami
  • Jeong‐Ryeol Kurz‐Kim

Abstract

ABSTRACT In this paper, we construct a single composite financial stress indicator (FSI), which aims to predict developments in the real economy in the euro area. Our FSI was shown to perform better than the Euro STOXX 50 volatility index for the recent banking crisis and the euro‐area sovereign debt crisis and to be able to serve as an early warning indicator for negative impacts of financial stress on the real economy. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Suggested Citation

  • Mevlud Islami & Jeong‐Ryeol Kurz‐Kim, 2014. "A Single Composite Financial Stress Indicator And Its Real Impact In The Euro Area," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(3), pages 204-211, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:ijfiec:v:19:y:2014:i:3:p:204-211
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    1. Nasreen, Samia & Anwar, Sofia & Ozturk, Ilhan, 2017. "Financial stability, energy consumption and environmental quality: Evidence from South Asian economies," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 1105-1122.
    2. Gila-Gourgoura, E. & Nikolaidou, E., 2017. "Credit Risk Determinants in the Vulnerable Economies of Europe: Evidence from the Spanish Banking System," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), International Hellenic University (IHU), Kavala Campus, Greece (formerly Eastern Macedonia and Thrace Institute of Technology - EMaTTech), vol. 10(1), pages 60-71, March.
    3. CHAFIK, Omar, 2018. "Financial cycle and conduct of monetary policy: theory and empirical evidence," MPRA Paper 88995, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. CHAFIK, Omar, 2018. "Financial cycle and conduct of monetary policy: The amplifier/divider theory," MPRA Paper 89170, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Jakob Fiedler & Josef Ruzicka & Thomas Theobald, 2019. "The Real-Time Information Content of Financial Stress and Bank Lending on European Business Cycles," IMK Working Paper 198-2019, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    6. Chafik, Omar & Achour, Aya, 2022. "Cycle financier, cycle réel et transmission de la politique monétaire au Maroc," Document de travail 2022-2, Bank Al-Maghrib, Département de la Recherche.
    7. Zouheir Ahmed Mighri & Majid Ibrahim Alsaggaf, 2019. "Asymmetric Threshold Cointegration and Nonlinear Adjustment between Oil Prices and Financial Stress," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(3), pages 87-105.
    8. H. Kent Baker & Satish Kumar & Kirti Goyal & Prashant Gupta, 2023. "International journal of finance and economics: A bibliometric overview," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 9-46, January.
    9. Sheng Zhu & Ella Kavanagh & Niall O'Sullivan, 2021. "Constructing a financial conditions index for the United Kingdom: A comparative analysis," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 2976-2989, April.
    10. Kehinde Damilola Ilesanmi & Devi Datt Tewari, 2020. "Financial Stress Index and Economic Activity in South Africa: New Evidence," Economies, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-19, December.
    11. Chen Gu & Xu Guo & Alexander Kurov & Raluca Stan, 2022. "The information content of the volatility index options trading volume," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(9), pages 1721-1737, September.
    12. Marcin Borsuk & Konrad Kostrzewa, 2020. "Miary ryzyka systemowego dla Polski. Jak ryzyko systemowe wpływa na akcję kredytową banków?," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 51(3), pages 211-238.
    13. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2015_007 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Νikolaos A. Kyriazis, 2021. "Investigating the nexus between European major and sectoral stock indices, gold and oil during the COVID-19 pandemic," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(4), pages 1-12, April.
    15. Huotari, Jarkko, 2015. "Measuring financial stress – A country specific stress index for Finland," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 7/2015, Bank of Finland.
    16. Huotari, Jarkko, 2015. "Measuring financial stress – A country specific stress index for Finland," Research Discussion Papers 7/2015, Bank of Finland.
    17. Malgorzata Iwanicz-Drozdowska & Pawel Smaga & Bartosz Witkowski, 2017. "Role of Foreign Capital in Stability of Banking Sectors in CESEE Countries," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 67(6), pages 492-511, October.
    18. Sadia Babar & Rashid Latief & Sumaira Ashraf & Sania Nawaz, 2019. "Financial Stability Index for the Financial Sector of Pakistan," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-24, August.
    19. Omar Chafik, 2020. "The amplifier/divider mechanism of the financial cycle," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 17(2), pages 363-380, May.
    20. Polat, Onur & Ozkan, Ibrahim, 2019. "Transmission mechanisms of financial stress into economic activity in Turkey," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 41(2), pages 395-415.
    21. Magdalena Ziolo & Beata Zofia Filipiak & Iwona Bąk & Katarzyna Cheba, 2019. "How to Design More Sustainable Financial Systems: The Roles of Environmental, Social, and Governance Factors in the Decision-Making Process," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(20), pages 1-34, October.

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