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Explaining Policy Punctuations: Bureaucratization and Budget Change

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  • Scott E. Robinson
  • Floun'say Caver
  • Kenneth J. Meier
  • Laurence J. O'Toole

Abstract

Recent policy research has turned from the testing of static, cross‐sectional theories to time‐serial analyses of dynamic processes. This attention has renewed interest in the debate over incrementalism in policy development. Recent efforts have suggested that policy histories involve a series of short periods of instability followed by extended periods of stability. These theories are collectively known as punctuated equilibrium theories of policy. Efforts to test these models of policy have been limited to descriptive analyses of samples of policy budgets or univariate hypothesis testing. This article presents a strategy for multivariate hypothesis testing of punctuated equilibrium models based on the foundations of punctuated equilibrium theory. The strategy is illustrated with a test of the effects of organization size and centralization on the budgetary process.

Suggested Citation

  • Scott E. Robinson & Floun'say Caver & Kenneth J. Meier & Laurence J. O'Toole, 2007. "Explaining Policy Punctuations: Bureaucratization and Budget Change," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 51(1), pages 140-150, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:amposc:v:51:y:2007:i:1:p:140-150
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-5907.2007.00242.x
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    Cited by:

    1. Darryl S.L. Jarvis & Alex Jingwei He, 2020. "Policy entrepreneurship and institutional change: Who, how, and why?," Public Administration & Development, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 40(1), pages 3-10, February.
    2. Laudari, Hari Krishna & Aryal, Kishor & Maraseni, Tek, 2020. "A postmortem of forest policy dynamics of Nepal," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    3. Louis-Robert Beaulieu-Guay & Maria Alejandra Costa & Éric Montpetit, 2023. "Policy change and information search: a test of the politics of information using regulatory data," Policy Sciences, Springer;Society of Policy Sciences, vol. 56(2), pages 377-418, June.
    4. Travis Sharp, 2019. "Wars, presidents, and punctuated equilibriums in US defense spending," Policy Sciences, Springer;Society of Policy Sciences, vol. 52(3), pages 367-396, September.
    5. Francois K. Doamekpor & Julia Beckett, 2015. "Federal Economic Development Transfers to State and Local Governments," Economic Development Quarterly, , vol. 29(1), pages 49-64, February.
    6. Spano Dominick, 2023. "Multiple Streams Approach and Punctuated Equilibrium Theory: Compared and Contrasted," HOLISTICA – Journal of Business and Public Administration, Sciendo, vol. 14(2), pages 137-147, December.

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