IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/vrs/mtrbid/v44y2022i2p209-222n11.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Forecasting Parameters of Farm Development At the Regional Level Using the STELLA Program

Author

Listed:
  • Savka Mariia

    (, PhD in Economics, Karpatnaftochim LTD, 4 Industrial str., 77306, Ivano-Frankivsk region, Kalush, Ukraine, Phone No.: +380503731070)

  • Cherneviy Yurii

    (Prof. Dr., Vasyl Stefanyk Precarpathian National University, 57 Shevchenko str., 76010, Ivano-Frankivsk, Ukraine, Phone No.: +380665340809)

  • Yatsiv Ihor

    (Prof. Dr. Lviv National Environmental University, 1, V. Velykoho str., 80381, Dubliany – Lviv, Ukraine, Phone No.: +380975138522)

  • Balaniuk Ivan

    (Prof. Dr. Vasyl Stefanyk Precarpathian National University, 57, Shevchenka st.76010, Ivano-Frankivsk, Ukraine, Phone No.: +380503733282)

  • Shelenko Diana

    (Prof. Dr. Vasyl Stefanyk Precarpathian National University, 57, Shevchenka st. 76010, Ivano-Frankivsk, Ukraine, Phone No.: +380990662326)

  • Yatsiv Svitlana

    (PhD in Economics, Associate Professor, Lviv National Environmental University, 1 V. Velykoho str., Dubliany –, Lviv, 80381, Ukraine, Phone No.: +380673931061)

Abstract

Given the importance of forecasting the production of agricultural products by farms, the study created an original model in the STELLA program, which identified the impact on the number of agricultural enterprises, land area and fertilizers. The created model showed that in Ivano-Frankivsk region by 2030 with the stabilization of the number of agricultural enterprises, land area and the increase in mineral fertilizers per hectare of sown area may increase agricultural production by farms. This will help solve important issues for the region and the state in general, related to strengthening food security, ensuring the social development of rural areas. The prognostic changes in the volume of agricultural production determined by the STELLA program by farms of the region until 2030 can be the basis for the development of a promising model of the agricultural production system at the regional level.

Suggested Citation

  • Savka Mariia & Cherneviy Yurii & Yatsiv Ihor & Balaniuk Ivan & Shelenko Diana & Yatsiv Svitlana, 2022. "Forecasting Parameters of Farm Development At the Regional Level Using the STELLA Program," Management Theory and Studies for Rural Business and Infrastructure Development, Sciendo, vol. 44(2), pages 209-222, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:vrs:mtrbid:v:44:y:2022:i:2:p:209-222:n:11
    DOI: 10.15544/mts.2022.22
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.15544/mts.2022.22
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.15544/mts.2022.22?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jill K. Clark & Darla K. Munroe & Becky Mansfield, 2010. "What counts as farming: how classification limits regionalization of the food system," Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 3(2), pages 245-259.
    2. Falconnier, Gatien N. & Descheemaeker, Katrien & Traore, Bouba & Bayoko, Arouna & Giller, Ken E., 2018. "Agricultural intensification and policy interventions: Exploring plausible futures for smallholder farmers in Southern Mali," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 623-634.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Nagalé Dit Mahamadou Sanogo & Sidzabda Djibril Dayamba & Fabrice G. Renaud & Melanie Feurer, 2022. "From Wooded Savannah to Farmland and Settlement: Population Growth, Drought, Energy Needs and Cotton Price Incentives Driving Changes in Wacoro, Mali," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-16, November.
    2. Shelenko Diana & Balaniuk Ivan & Sas Liudmyla & Malik Mykola & Matkovskyi Petro & Levandivskyi Omelian & Humeniuk Mariana, 2021. "Forecasting Of Net Profit And The Area Of Land Of Private Enterprises," Management Theory and Studies for Rural Business and Infrastructure Development, Sciendo, vol. 43(4), pages 500-516, December.
    3. Julia M. L. Laforge & Colin R. Anderson & Stéphane M. McLachlan, 2017. "Governments, grassroots, and the struggle for local food systems: containing, coopting, contesting and collaborating," Agriculture and Human Values, Springer;The Agriculture, Food, & Human Values Society (AFHVS), vol. 34(3), pages 663-681, September.
    4. Huet, E.K. & Adam, M. & Giller, K.E. & Descheemaeker, K., 2020. "Diversity in perception and management of farming risks in southern Mali," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    5. Florence A. Becot & Shoshanah M. Inwood, 2022. "Medical economic vulnerability: a next step in expanding the farm resilience scholarship," Agriculture and Human Values, Springer;The Agriculture, Food, & Human Values Society (AFHVS), vol. 39(3), pages 1097-1116, September.
    6. Ronner, E. & van de Ven, G.J. & Nowakunda, K. & Tugumisirize, J. & Kayiita, J. & Taulya, G. & Uckert, G. & Descheemaeker, K.K.E., 2023. "What future for banana-based farming systems in Uganda? A participatory scenario analysis," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    7. Berre, David & Adam, Myriam & Koffi, Christophe K. & Vigne, Mathieu & Gautier, Denis, 2022. "Tailoring management practices to the structure of smallholder households in Sudano-Sahelian Burkina Faso: Evidence from current practices," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    8. Assogba, Gildas G.C. & Adam, Myriam & Berre, David & Descheemaeker, Katrien, 2022. "Managing biomass in semi-arid Burkina Faso: Strategies and levers for better crop and livestock production in contrasted farm systems," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
    9. Bouba Traore & Birhanu Zemadim Birhanu & Seydou Sangaré & Murali Krishna Gumma & Ramadjita Tabo & Anthony Michael Whitbread, 2021. "Contribution of Climate-Smart Agriculture Technologies to Food Self-Sufficiency of Smallholder Households in Mali," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-17, July.
    10. Adam, Myriam & MacCarthy, Dilys Sefakor & Traoré, Pierre C. Sibiry & Nenkam, Andree & Freduah, Bright Salah & Ly, Mouhamed & Adiku, Samuel G.K., 2020. "Which is more important to sorghum production systems in the Sudano-Sahelian zone of West Africa: Climate change or improved management practices?," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
    11. Marinus, Wytze & Descheemaeker, Katrien K.E. & van de Ven, Gerrie W.J. & Waswa, Wycliffe & Mukalama, John & Vanlauwe, Bernard & Giller, Ken E., 2021. "“That is my farm” – An integrated co-learning approach for whole-farm sustainable intensification in smallholder farming," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    farms; prognostication; Ukraine; small agrarian business; economic competition;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C59 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Other
    • O12 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Microeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • Q12 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Micro Analysis of Farm Firms, Farm Households, and Farm Input Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:vrs:mtrbid:v:44:y:2022:i:2:p:209-222:n:11. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Peter Golla (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.sciendo.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.