IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ush/jaessh/v7y2012i1(18)_summer2011p132.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Analysis Of The Management Of Romanian Investment Funds Using Econometric Methods

Author

Listed:
  • Marius DINCÄ‚
  • Roxana Maria GIDINCEANU (DRAGOMIR)

Abstract

The object of this particular research paper is the analysis of all five investment funds in Romania, having five or more years of continuous activity on the Romanian capital market, through 60 monthly probes. Within a context of a macroeconomic environment characterized by uncertainty, a correct assessment of an investment prior to its inception becomes impetuously necessary. The starting point of this research was facilitated by similar studies in the field such as Sinclair (1990) Phoon, Tan (1993), Gallo, and Swanson (1996). The methodology of research includes testing of managerial abilities based on the established models of Jensen (1968), and Henriksson , and Merton (1984). The added value of this paper consists in the inclusion of two other aspects: namely the yield and the global risk associated to the portfolio using the CAPM model and the stationarity analysis of the series based on the Ljung-Box and the Box-Pierce tests. One of the conclusions of this research was that none the fund managers have either “selection ability†or “timing ability†. However, risk and return analysis determined that the same group of managers achieved a harmonious grouping of the companies in their respective portfolios. As a result of the analysis performed, all data series were proven to be non-stationary, the funds themselves presenting a type DSP non-stationarity compared to the TSP type non-stationarity of the BET index series. Therefore, we used differentiation for the fund share price value and we have eliminated the trend of the BET index series using the Moving Average.

Suggested Citation

  • Marius DINCÄ‚ & Roxana Maria GIDINCEANU (DRAGOMIR), 2012. "The Analysis Of The Management Of Romanian Investment Funds Using Econometric Methods," Journal of Applied Economic Sciences, Spiru Haret University, Faculty of Financial Management and Accounting Craiova, vol. 6(6(18)/ Su), pages 132-143.
    • Handle: RePEc:ush:jaessh:v:7:y:2012:i:1(18)_summer2011:p:132
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.jaes.reprograph.ro/articles/summer2011/articles/DincaMarius_Gidinceanu(Dragomir)RoxanaMaria.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gebhard Kirchgässner & Jürgen Wolters & Uwe Hassler, 2013. "Introduction to Modern Time Series Analysis," Springer Texts in Business and Economics, Springer, edition 2, number 978-3-642-33436-8, August.
    2. Gallo, John G. & Swanson, Peggy E., 1996. "Comparative measures of performance for U.S.-based international equity mutual funds," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(10), pages 1635-1650, December.
    3. Henriksson, Roy D, 1984. "Market Timing and Mutual Fund Performance: An Empirical Investigation," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 57(1), pages 73-96, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Konstantina Pendaraki & Michael Doumpos & Constantin Zopounidis, 2003. "Assessing Equity Mutual Funds' Performance Using a Multicriteria Methodology: A Comparative Analysis," South-Eastern Europe Journal of Economics, Association of Economic Universities of South and Eastern Europe and the Black Sea Region, vol. 1(1), pages 85-104.
    2. Pendaraki, K. & Zopounidis, C. & Doumpos, M., 2005. "On the construction of mutual fund portfolios: A multicriteria methodology and an application to the Greek market of equity mutual funds," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 163(2), pages 462-481, June.
    3. Cuthbertson, Keith & Nitzsche, Dirk, 2013. "Performance, stock selection and market timing of the German equity mutual fund industry," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 86-101.
    4. Aurelie Charles & Damiano Sguotti, 2021. "Sustainable Earnings: How Can Herd Behavior in Financial Accumulation Feed into a Resilient Economic System?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-19, May.
    5. Butt, Prof. Khursheed A & Pandow, Bilal Ahmad, 2013. "An analysis into the Stock Selectivity skill of Indian Fund Managers," MPRA Paper 83500, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2013.
    6. Jung‐Soon Shin & Minki Kim & Dongjun Oh & Tong Suk Kim, 2019. "Do hedge funds time market tail risk? Evidence from option‐implied tail risk," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 205-237, February.
    7. Bandyopadhyay, Kaushik Ranjan, 2009. "Does OPEC act as a Residual Producer?," MPRA Paper 25841, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2010.
    8. Ding, Jing & Jiang, Lei & Liu, Xiaohui & Peng, Liang, 2023. "Nonparametric tests for market timing ability using daily mutual fund returns," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    9. Joanna Olbryś, 2010. "Three-factor market-timing models with Fama and French’s spread variables," Operations Research and Decisions, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management, vol. 20(2), pages 91-106.
    10. Nsisong Patrick Ekong & Daniel Wilson Ebong, 2016. "On the Crude Oil Price, Stock Market Movement and Economic Growth Nexus in Nigeria Evidence from Cointegration and Var Analysis," Asian Journal of Economic Modelling, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 4(3), pages 112-123, September.
    11. Kee-Hong Bae & Junesuh Yi, 2008. "The Impact of the Short-Short Rule Repeal on the Timing Ability of Mutual Funds," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(7-8), pages 969-997.
    12. Brahmadev Panda & Rudra Prasanna Mahapatra & Samson Moharana, 2015. "Myth of Equity Mutual Fund Performance," Vision, , vol. 19(3), pages 200-209, September.
    13. Massimiliano Caporin & Grégory M. Jannin & Francesco Lisi & Bertrand B. Maillet, 2014. "A Survey On The Four Families Of Performance Measures," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(5), pages 917-942, December.
    14. Sanaullah & Muhammad Shahbaz Khan & Dr. Amna Noor & Salleh Khan, 2021. "An Investigation of Market Timing Ability of Mutual Fund Managers in Pakistan," iRASD Journal of Management, International Research Alliance for Sustainable Development (iRASD), vol. 3(1), pages 56-68, june.
    15. repec:zbw:rwirep:0243 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. Erik Heilmann & Janosch Henze & Heike Wetzel, 2021. "Machine learning in energy forecasts with an application to high frequency electricity consumption data," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202135, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    17. Lena Dräger, 2015. "Inflation perceptions and expectations in Sweden – Are media reports the missing link?," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 77(5), pages 681-700, October.
    18. Anastasia Petraki & Anna Zalewska, 2013. "With whom and in what is it better to save? Personal pensions in the UK," The Centre for Market and Public Organisation 13/304, The Centre for Market and Public Organisation, University of Bristol, UK.
    19. Adam Zaremba & Jacob Koby Shemer, 2018. "Price-Based Investment Strategies," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-319-91530-2, September.
    20. Orkun ÇELİK & Deniz ERER & Elif ERER, 2018. "2008 Küresel Krizinin Bireysel Emeklilik Fonları Oynaklığı Üzerindeki Etkisi: Türkiye Örneği," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society, issue 26(35).
    21. Antonio Diez De Los Rios & René Garcia, 2011. "Assessing and valuing the nonlinear structure of hedge fund returns," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 193-212, March.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ush:jaessh:v:7:y:2012:i:1(18)_summer2011:p:132. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Laura Stefanescu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/fmuspro.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.