IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ukm/jlekon/v56y2022i1p123-133.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Oil Price Transmission, Deficit Financing and Capital Formation

Author

Listed:
  • Ebi, Bassey Okon

    (Department of Economics University of Calabar P.M.B 1115, Calabar, Cross State NIGERIA.)

  • Aladejare, Samson Adeniyi

    (Department of Economics Federal University Wukari PMB 1020 Katsina-Ala Road, Wukari, Taraba State NIGERIA.)

Abstract

This study investigated the magnitude of the transmission effect from oil price, to deficit financing, and capital formation using the Generalised Method of Moment approach. Based on the Nigerian data, the findings reveals a significant but small inverse oil price transmission effect, through the oil revenue channel to deficit financing. This indicates that growth in public spending is currently pacing faster than government revenue, due to poor fiscal management. In contrast, the transmission effect from oil price, through the oil revenue and deficit financing channels, to capital formation is significantly positive but minute in magnitude. The weak response of capital formation to the transmission effect from oil price, is due to the increasing use of oil proceeds in funding government’s recurrent outlays over the years. Hence, channelling positive growth in oil prices, and repositioning the use of deficit financing to growing capital formation as against consumption demands, will increase diversification of government revenue base and investors’ confidence in the economy through growth in FDI inflows.

Suggested Citation

  • Ebi, Bassey Okon & Aladejare, Samson Adeniyi, 2022. "Oil Price Transmission, Deficit Financing and Capital Formation," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 56(1), pages 123-133.
  • Handle: RePEc:ukm:jlekon:v:56:y:2022:i:1:p:123-133
    DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.17576/JEM-2022-5601-09
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.ukm.my/jem/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/jeko_561-9.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/http://dx.doi.org/10.17576/JEM-2022-5601-09?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hamdi, Helmi & Sbia, Rashid, 2013. "Dynamic relationships between oil revenues, government spending and economic growth in an oil-dependent economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 118-125.
    2. Chakraborty, Lekha S., 2006. "Fiscal deficit, capital formation, and crowding out: Evidence from India," Working Papers 06/43, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
    3. El Anshasy, Amany A. & Bradley, Michael D., 2012. "Oil prices and the fiscal policy response in oil-exporting countries," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 34(5), pages 605-620.
    4. Mr. Thomas Baunsgaard, 2003. "Fiscal Policy in Nigeria: Any Role for Rules?," IMF Working Papers 2003/155, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Lekha Chakraborty, 2007. "Fiscal Deficit, Capital Formation, and Crowding Out in India: Evidence from an Asymmetric VAR Model," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_518, Levy Economics Institute.
    6. Bassey Okon Ebi & Imoke Douglas Imoke, 2017. "Public Debt Carrying Capacity and Debt Transmission Channels: The Nigerian Experience," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(5), pages 41-52.
    7. Omer Ali Ibrahim & Sonal Devesh & Hisham Mohamed Hassan, 2019. "Sensitivity of Fiscal Balances to Oil Price Shocks: Short and Long Term Effects in the Context of Oman," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(2), pages 146-155.
    8. Kentaro Iwatsubo & Satoru Ogasawara, 2019. "Crude Oil Prices, Capital Flows, and Emerging Economies," Public Policy Review, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan, vol. 15(1), pages 35-68, July.
    9. Eregha, Perekunah B. & Aworinde, Olalekan B. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2022. "Modeling twin deficit hypothesis with oil price volatility in African oil-producing countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    10. Bassey Okon Ebi & Oluwafemi Ayodele, 2017. "Tax Reforms and Tax Yield in Nigeria," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(3), pages 768-778.
    11. Samson Adeniyi Aladejare, 2019. "Testing the Robustness of Public Spending Determinants on Public Spending Decisions in Nigeria," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(1), pages 65-87, January.
    12. Sarfaraz Javed & Uvesh Husain & Muhammad Shafiullah, 2020. "An ARDL investigation on the nexus of oil factors and economic growth: A timeseries evidence from Sultanate of Oman," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 1838418-183, January.
    13. Samson Adeniyi Aladejare, 2020. "Macroeconomic Vs. Resource Determinants of Economic Growth in Africa: A COMESA and ECOWAS Study," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(1), pages 100-124, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Abubakar, Attahir Babaji & Muhammad, Mansur & Mensah, Samuel, 2023. "Response of fiscal efforts to oil price dynamics," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    2. Mohammad Asif & Vishal Sharma & Vinay Joshi Chandniwala & Parvez Alam Khan & Syed Mohd Muneeb, 2023. "Modelling the Dynamic Linkage Amidst Energy Prices and Twin Deficit in India: Empirical Investigation within Linear and Nonlinear Framework," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(6), pages 1-23, March.
    3. Sajad Ahmad Bhat & Javed Ahmad Bhat & Taufeeq Ajaz, 2020. "The Public–Private Investment Nexus In India: Evidence From A Policy Simulation Approach," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 65(224), pages 101-128, January –.
    4. Sajad Ahmad Bhat & Bandi Kamaiah, 2021. "Fiscal policy and macroeconomic effects: structural macroeconometric model and simulation analysis," Journal of Social and Economic Development, Springer;Institute for Social and Economic Change, vol. 23(1), pages 81-105, June.
    5. Nusair, Salah A., 2016. "The effects of oil price shocks on the economies of the Gulf Co-operation Council countries: Nonlinear analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 256-267.
    6. Pravakar Sahoo & Ashwani Bishnoi, 2021. "Investment Slowdown in India: Role of Fiscal-Monetary policy and Economic Uncertainty," IEG Working Papers 439, Institute of Economic Growth.
    7. Chakraborty, Lekha S, 2014. "Macroeconomics of “NaMo” Budget 2014 in India," MPRA Paper 67045, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2014.
    8. Ghassan, Hassan B., 2011. "Public and Private Investment in Saudi Economy: Evidence from Weak Exogeneity and Bound Cointegration Tests," MPRA Paper 56537, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Jagannath Mallick, 2019. "The effects of government investment shocks on private investment: Empirical evidence from the developing economy," Indian Economic Review, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 291-316, December.
    10. Khatai Aliyev & Altay Ismayilov & Ilkin Gasimov, 2019. "Modelling Elasticity of Non-Oil Tax Revenues to Oil Price Changes: is There U-Shaped Association? Evidence from Azerbaijan," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 67(3), pages 799-810.
    11. Ghassan, Hassan & Alhajhoj, Hassan, 2010. "الارتباط الحركي بين الاستثمار في مؤسسات القطاع الحكومي والاستثمار الخاص عبر نموذج التقهقر الذاتي البنيوي: حالة الاقتصاد السعودي [The Dynamic Relationship between the Investment in Public and Privat," MPRA Paper 54398, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Peter Y. Jang & Mario G. Beruvides, 2020. "Time-Varying Influences of Oil-Producing Countries on Global Oil Price," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-22, March.
    13. Ritu Rani & Naresh Kumar, 2016. "Does Fiscal Deficit Affect Interest Rate in India? An Empirical Investigation," Jindal Journal of Business Research, , vol. 5(2), pages 87-103, December.
    14. Shazia Kousar & Saeed Ahmad Sabir & Farhan Ahmed & Štefan Bojnec, 2022. "Climate Change, Exchange Rate, Twin Deficit, and Energy Inflation: Application of VAR Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(20), pages 1-21, October.
    15. Asamoah, Lawrence Adu, 2016. "Fiscal Policy and Lending Rate Nexus in Ghana," MPRA Paper 80209, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Ranjan Kumar Mohanty, 2016. "Does Fiscal Deficit Crowd Out Private Corporate Sector Investment In India?," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 64(05), pages 1201-1224, November.
    17. Nusrat Akber & Megha Gupta & Kirtti Ranjan Paltasingh, 2020. "The Crowding-in/ out Debate in Investments in India: Fresh Evidence from NARDL Application," South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance, , vol. 9(2), pages 167-189, December.
    18. Chakraborty, Lekha, 2012. "Determination of Interest Rate in India: Empirical Evidence on Fiscal Deficit-Interest Links and Financial Crowding Out," Working Papers 12/110, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
    19. Przekota Grzegorz & Lisowska Agnieszka, 2016. "The Reaction of Private Spending and Market Interest Rates to the Changes in Public Spending," Foundations of Management, Sciendo, vol. 8(1), pages 203-210, January.
    20. Honey Karun & Hrishikesh Vinod & Chakraborty, Lekha S., 2020. "Did public investment crowd out private investment in India?," Working Papers 20/312, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Capital formation; Nigeria.; Oil price; deficit financing; transmission;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H54 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Infrastructures
    • H61 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Budget; Budget Systems
    • P35 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Socialist Institutions and Their Transitions - - - Public Finance

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ukm:jlekon:v:56:y:2022:i:1:p:123-133. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Muhammad Asri Abd Ghani (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/feukmmy.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.