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Heat Adaptation and Human Performance in a Warming Climate

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  • Steven Sexton
  • Zhenxuan Wang
  • Jamie T. Mullins

Abstract

Labor productivity, human capital formation, and income growth decline amid hot ambient temperatures. The implications of such temperature sensitivity for climate change damages depend upon the capacity for human adaptation to persistent temperature changes—as opposed to idiosyncratic temperature variation. Studying millions of collegiate track and field performances from 2005 to 2019, this paper shows that performance diminution in hot ambient conditions is mitigated by heat adaptation, a physiological response to heat stress and associated physical and cognitive impairments. Across varied specifications of the temperature-performance relationship, adaptation reduces performance losses from alternative climate change scenarios by more than 50%.

Suggested Citation

  • Steven Sexton & Zhenxuan Wang & Jamie T. Mullins, 2022. "Heat Adaptation and Human Performance in a Warming Climate," Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, University of Chicago Press, vol. 9(1), pages 141-163.
    • Handle: RePEc:ucp:jaerec:doi:10.1086/715509
    DOI: 10.1086/715509
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    Cited by:

    1. Filomena, Mattia & Picchio, Matteo, 2023. "Unsafe temperatures, unsafe jobs: The impact of weather conditions on work-related injuries," GLO Discussion Paper Series 1280, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    2. Osberghaus, Daniel & Schenker, Oliver, 2022. "International trade and the transmission of temperature shocks," ZEW Discussion Papers 22-035, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    3. Gibney, Garreth & McDermott, Thomas K.J. & Cullinan, John, 2023. "Temperature, morbidity, and behavior in milder climates," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    4. Matteo Picchio & Jan van Ours, 2023. "The impact of high temperatures on performance in work-related activities," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 23-052/V, Tinbergen Institute.
    5. Wei, Xiahai & Li, Jianan & Liu, Hongyou & Wan, Jiangtao, 2023. "Temperature and outdoor productivity: Evidence from professional soccer players," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).

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