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Overtime Labor, Employment Frictions, and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve

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  • João Madeira

    (University of York)

Abstract

This paper presents a New Keynesian (NK) model that is extended to differentiate between straight time and overtime work. The model proposes that the New Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) should be estimated with marginal cost measured in terms of overtime labor; the resulting coefficient estimates are in accordance with theory and statistically significant for the hybrid NKPC (which allows for backward-looking price setters) but not for the purely forward-looking NKPC. In the hybrid model, backward-looking behavior is found to be predominant. The paper also shows that the incorporation of employment frictions (predetermined employment and convex adjustment costs) in NK models helps reconcile the frequent price changes found in the microdata with the degree of sluggishness in inflation adjustment to output changes at the macro level. © 2014 The President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Suggested Citation

  • João Madeira, 2014. "Overtime Labor, Employment Frictions, and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 96(4), pages 767-778, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:tpr:restat:v:96:y:2014:i:4:p:767-778
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Mikael Bask & João Madeira, 2021. "Extrapolative expectations and macroeconomic dynamics: Evidence from an estimated DSGE model," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 1101-1111, January.
    2. Carlos Madeira & João Madeira & Paulo Santos Monteiro, 2023. "The origins of monetary policy disagreement: the role of supply and demand shocks," BIS Working Papers 1118, Bank for International Settlements.
    3. PETER McADAM & ALPO WILLMAN, 2013. "Technology, Utilization, and Inflation: What Drives the New Keynesian Phillips Curve?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(8), pages 1547-1579, December.
    4. Madeira, João, 2015. "Firm-specific capital, inflation persistence and the sources of business cycles," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 229-243.
    5. Anelí Bongers, 2023. "Learning by doing, organizational forgetting, and the business cycle," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 75(1), pages 141-150, January.
    6. Tatiana Damjanovic & Vladislav Damjanovic & Charles Nolan, 2020. "Default, Bailouts and the Vertical Structure of Financial Intermediaries," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 38, pages 154-180, October.
    7. Madeira, Carlos & Salazar, Leonardo, 2023. "The impact of monetary policy on a labor market with heterogeneous workers: The case of Chile," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 4(2).
    8. Joao Madeira, 2013. "Assessing the empirical relevance of Walrasian labor frictions to business cycle fluctuations," Discussion Papers 1304, University of Exeter, Department of Economics.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    overtime; labor; employment; New Keynesian; NK; New Keynesian Phillips; NKPC; microdata; inflation; macro;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J01 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - General - - - Labor Economics: General
    • J48 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Particular Labor Markets - - - Particular Labor Markets; Public Policy
    • J30 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - General

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