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A Model of U.K. Emigration, 1870-1913

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  • Hatton, Timothy J

Abstract

This paper develops a simple time series model of emigration and applies it to data for emigration from the United Kingdom, 1870-1913. The model is derived from a macroeconomic analysis of the migration decision and provides a specific functional form and dynamic structure. It encompasses and explains many of the empirical findings of earlier research on the determinants of emigration over this historical period. The results support the model strongly in most respects. Both wage rates and employment rates in the sending and in the receiving countries influenced fluctuations in emigration. The short-run fluctuations were driven largely by variations in employment rates while the long-run level of emigration was determined largely by the relative wage. Copyright 1995 by MIT Press.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by MIT Press in its journal Review of Economics & Statistics.

Volume (Year): 77 (1995)
Issue (Month): 3 (August)
Pages: 407-15

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Handle: RePEc:tpr:restat:v:77:y:1995:i:3:p:407-15

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Web page: http://mitpress.mit.edu/journals/

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Web: http://mitpress.mit.edu/journal-home.tcl?issn=00346535

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Cited by:
  1. Barry Chiswick & Timothy J.. Hatton, 2003. "International Migration and the Integration of Labor Markets," NBER Chapters, in: Globalization in Historical Perspective, pages 65-120 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. Graziella Bertocchi & Chiara Strozzi, 2008. "International migration and the role of institutions," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 137(1), pages 81-102, October.
  3. Timothy J. Hatton, 2010. "The Cliometrics Of International Migration: A Survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(5), pages 941-969, December.
  4. Tito Boeri & Herbert Brücker, 2005. "Migration, Co-ordination Failures and EU Enlargement: Paper Presented at the 41st Economic Policy Panel in Luxembourg, 15/16 April 2005," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 481, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
  5. Sule Akkoyunlu, 2009. "Trade, Aid, Remittances and Migration," KOF Working papers 09-229, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
  6. Neubecker, Nina & Smolka, Marcel, 2012. "Co-national and transnational networks in international migration to Spain," University of Tuebingen Working Papers in Economics and Finance 46, University of Tuebingen, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences.
  7. Alberto Chong & Gianmarco León, 2006. "Barriers to Exit," Research Department Publications 4476, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
  8. Ziesemer, Thomas, 2010. "Net-immigration of developing countries: The role of economic determinants, disasters, conflicts, and political instability," UNU-MERIT Working Paper Series 009, United Nations University, Maastricht Economic and social Research and training centre on Innovation and Technology.
  9. Alan Ahearne & Herbert Brcker & Zsolt Darvas & Jakob von Weizs„cker, 2009. "Cyclical Dimensions of Labour Mobility after EU Enlargement," IEHAS Discussion Papers 0910, Institute of Economics, Hungarian Academy of Sciences.
  10. Kenichi Ueda, 2002. "Implications of Migration on Income and Welfare of Nationals," IMF Working Papers 02/215, International Monetary Fund.
  11. Boeri, Tito & Brücker, Herbert, 2005. "Migration, Co-ordination Failures and EU Enlargement," IZA Discussion Papers 1600, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
  12. Dustmann, C. & Casanova, M. & Fertig, M. & Preston, I. & Schmidt, C.M., 2003. "The impact of EU enlargement on migration flows," Open Access publications from University College London http://discovery.ucl.ac.u, University College London.
  13. Demet Beton & Glenn Jenkins, 2008. "Migration from Turkey and the Uncertainty of the Accession of Turkey to the EU," Working Papers 1182, Queen's University, Department of Economics.

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