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A Model of U.K. Emigration, 1870-1913

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Author Info
Hatton, Timothy J

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Abstract

This paper develops a simple time series model of emigration and applies it to data for emigration from the United Kingdom, 1870-1913. The model is derived from a macroeconomic analysis of the migration decision and provides a specific functional form and dynamic structure. It encompasses and explains many of the empirical findings of earlier research on the determinants of emigration over this historical period. The results support the model strongly in most respects. Both wage rates and employment rates in the sending and in the receiving countries influenced fluctuations in emigration. The short-run fluctuations were driven largely by variations in employment rates while the long-run level of emigration was determined largely by the relative wage. Copyright 1995 by MIT Press.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by MIT Press in its journal Review of Economics & Statistics.

Volume (Year): 77 (1995)
Issue (Month): 3 (August)
Pages: 407-15
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Handle: RePEc:tpr:restat:v:77:y:1995:i:3:p:407-15

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  1. Tito Boeri & Herbert Brücker, 2005. "Migration, Co-ordination Failures and EU Enlargement: Paper Presented at the 41st Economic Policy Panel in Luxembourg, 15/16 April 2005," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 481, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
  2. Alberto Chong & Gianmarco León, 2006. "Barriers to Exit," RES Working Papers 4476, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Tito Boeri & Herbert Brücker, 2005. "Migration, Co-ordination Failures and EU Enlargement," IZA Discussion Papers 1600, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
  4. Demet Beton & Glenn Jenkins, 2008. "Migration from Turkey and the Uncertainty of the Accession of Turkey to the EU," Working Papers 1182, Queen's University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  5. Alessandra Venturini & Riccardo Faini, 2008. "Development and Migration: Lessons from Southern Europe," CHILD Working Papers wp10_08, CHILD - Centre for Household, Income, Labour and Demographic economics - ITALY. [Downloadable!]
  6. Graziella Bertocchi & Chiara Strozzi, 2008. "International Migration and the Role of Institutions," Center for Economic Research (RECent) 012, University of Modena and Reggio E., Dept. of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  7. Kenichi Ueda, 2002. "Implications of Migration on Income and Welfare of Nationals," IMF Working Papers 02/215, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
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