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Economic Integration and Business Cycle Synchronization in Asia

Author

Listed:
  • Chi Gong

    (Core Research Center of Asia Center, Seoul National University)

  • Soyoung Kim

    (Department of Economics, Seoul National University)

Abstract

This paper examines the effects of internal (or regional) vs. external (inter-regional) integration and of trade vs. financial integration on regional business cycle synchronization in Asia. The empirical results show the following: (1) similar and strong common external linkages have significant positive effects on regional business cycle synchronization; (2) after controlling for external linkages, internal trade integration has a positive effect on regional business cycle synchronization but internal financial integration has a negative effect; and (3) the measures of external linkages, particularly the measure of external financial linkages, are more important than those of internal linkages in explaining regional business cycle co-movements. © 2013 The Earth Institute at Columbia University and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

Suggested Citation

  • Chi Gong & Soyoung Kim, 2013. "Economic Integration and Business Cycle Synchronization in Asia," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 12(1), pages 76-99, Winter/Sp.
    • Handle: RePEc:tpr:asiaec:v:12:y:2013:i:1:p:76-99
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Wanping Yang & Bingyu Zhao, 2021. "The Transmission Mechanism of China-Japan Economic Co-Movement and Stabilizing Measures for China’s Economy," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(1), pages 21582440211, March.
    2. Andrea Bonilla Bolanos, 2014. "An Examination of the Convergence in the Output of South American Countries: The Influence of the Region’s Integration Projects," Working Papers 1424, Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique Lyon St-Étienne (GATE Lyon St-Étienne), Université de Lyon.
    3. Jarko Fidrmuc & Iikka Korhonen, 2018. "Meta‐Analysis of Chinese Business Cycle Correlation," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(3), pages 385-410, August.
    4. Mr. Serkan Arslanalp & Wei Liao & Shi Piao & Dulani Seneviratne, 2016. "China’s Growing Influence on Asian Financial Markets," IMF Working Papers 2016/173, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Berdiev, Aziz N. & Chang, Chun-Ping, 2015. "Business cycle synchronization in Asia-Pacific: New evidence from wavelet analysis," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 20-33.
    6. Andrea Bonilla, 2014. "An Examination of the Convergence in the Output of South American Countries: The Influence of the Region's Integration Projects," Working Papers halshs-01069353, HAL.
    7. Masahito Ambashi & Fusanori Iwasaki & Keita Oikawa, 2022. "Prediction Errors of Macroeconomic Indicators and Economic Shocks for ASEAN Member States, 1990-2021," KIER Working Papers 1088, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
    8. Tatiana N. Litvinova & Galina A. Khmeleva & Lilia V. Ermolina & Tatiana V. Alferova & Irina V. Cheryomushkina, 2016. "Scenarios of Business Development in the Agricultural Machinery Market Under Conditions of International Trade Integration," Contemporary Economics, University of Economics and Human Sciences in Warsaw., vol. 10(4), December.
    9. Poměnková, Jitka & Fidrmuc, Jarko & Korhonen, Iikka, 2014. "China and the World economy: Wavelet spectrum analysis of business cycles," BOFIT Discussion Papers 5/2014, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    10. Ruperto MAJUCA, 2013. "Managing Economic Shocks and Macroeconomic Coordination in an Integrated Region: ASEAN Beyond 2015," Working Papers DP-2013-18, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA).
    11. Andrea Bonilla BOLAÑOS, 2017. "Are South American Countries Really Converging?: The Influence of the Region's Integration Projects," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 130-149, September.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    regional business cycle synchronization; Asia; internal and external integration; trade and financial integration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance

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