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Dynamics in the Dry Bulk Market Economic Activity, Trade Flows, and Safety in Shipping

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  • Christiaan Heij
  • Sabine Knapp

Abstract

Dynamics in iron ore markets are driven by changes in economic activities that affect commodity markets, trade flows, and shipping activity and safety. This article investigates the relation between these variables in Southeast Asia and the Australasian region. Steel production in China, Japan, and South Korea is related to iron ore exports and vessel activity in Australia, with an estimated time lag of about two months. The Purchasing Manager Index is found to have predictive power for steel production and iron ore exports. The growth in economic activity is associated with higher risks for ship accidents and pollution. © 2013 LSE and the University of Bath

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  • Christiaan Heij & Sabine Knapp, 2014. "Dynamics in the Dry Bulk Market Economic Activity, Trade Flows, and Safety in Shipping," Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, University of Bath, vol. 48(3), pages 499-514, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:tpe:jtecpo:v:48:y:2014:i:3:p:499-514
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    Cited by:

    1. Germeshausen, Robert & Panke, Timo & Wetzel, Heike, 2014. "Investigating the Influence of Firm Characteristics on the Ability to Exercise Market Power - A Stochastic Frontier Analysis Approach with an Application to the Iron Ore Market," EWI Working Papers 2014-17, Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln (EWI).
    2. Robert Germeshausen & Timo Panke & Heike Wetzel, 2020. "Firm characteristics and the ability to exercise market power: empirical evidence from the iron ore market," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(5), pages 2223-2247, May.

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