IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/tpe/jtecpo/2017513208--224.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

An Augmented Gravity Model for Forecasting Passenger Air Traffic on City-pair Routes

Author

Listed:
  • Tim Hazledine

Abstract

Demand and supply for commercial air travel are not independent. A more popular route allows airlines to increase the number of non-stop flights, which further shifts demand. Forecasting future air travel demand on inter-city routes requires distinguishing endogenous and exogenous determinants of service quality. The paper presents successful econometric estimates of gravity-based models of passenger numbers with subsidiary models of (a) price (controlling for airline competition), (b) provision of non-stop services, and (c) frequency of daily flights, for two markets: cross-border flights between Canada and the USA, and domestic air travel within New Zealand.

Suggested Citation

  • Tim Hazledine, 2017. "An Augmented Gravity Model for Forecasting Passenger Air Traffic on City-pair Routes," Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, University of Bath, vol. 51(3), pages 208-20-224.
    • Handle: RePEc:tpe:jtecpo:2017:51:3:208--224
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.jstor.org/stable/90014761
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:tpe:jtecpo:2017:51:3:208--224. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Christopher F. Baum (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.bath.ac.uk/e-journals/jtep .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.