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A School-Level Gravity Model of Student Migration Flows to Higher Education Institutions

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  • John Cullinan
  • Jim Duggan

Abstract

This paper presents a gravity model of student migration flows to higher education institutions (HEIs) in Ireland. The analysis is performed on a novel dataset containing detailed information on a range of ‘push’ and ‘pull’ factors, allowing one to estimate the effects of a number of important school-level characteristics on these flows. This is achieved by estimating and comparing a fixed-effects Poisson model and two conditional fixed-effects negative binomial models and selecting the best model on the basis of the Akaike information criterion (AIC). The preferred negative binomial model accounts for over-dispersion in the student flow data and allows for estimation of the parameter coefficients of the HEI-invariant characteristics. The analysis suggests that while geography plays a very important role in explaining student flows, so too do a range of school-level characteristics. Furthermore, it is found that distance has a differential impact across HEIs and HEI types with important implications for policy-makers and HEI managers.

Suggested Citation

  • John Cullinan & Jim Duggan, 2016. "A School-Level Gravity Model of Student Migration Flows to Higher Education Institutions," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(3), pages 294-314, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:specan:v:11:y:2016:i:3:p:294-314
    DOI: 10.1080/17421772.2016.1177195
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    Cited by:

    1. Diogo Lourenço & Carla Sá, 2019. "Spatial competition for students: What does (not) matter?," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 63(1), pages 147-162, August.
    2. Sara Abu GHARBIEH & Raed AL TAL & Imad HASHIMI, 2022. "Analyzing The Spatial Distribution Of Private Universities Using The Gravity Model," Theoretical and Empirical Researches in Urban Management, Research Centre in Public Administration and Public Services, Bucharest, Romania, vol. 17(3), pages 30-53, August.
    3. Carlos Vieira & Isabel Vieira & Luis Raposo, 2018. "Distance and academic performance in higher education," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(1), pages 60-79, January.
    4. Delaney, Judith M. & Devereux, Paul J., 2021. "Gender differences in college applications: Aspiration and risk management," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    5. Delaney, Judith M. & Devereux, Paul J., 2020. "Choosing differently? College application behavior and the persistence of educational advantage," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    6. P. S. Devi & P. K. Sudarsan, 2021. "Determinants of Migration to Goa, India: A Gravity Model Analysis," The Indian Journal of Labour Economics, Springer;The Indian Society of Labour Economics (ISLE), vol. 64(2), pages 485-498, June.

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