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Regional Growth Paths and Resilience: A European Analysis

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  • Don J. Webber
  • Adrian Healy
  • Gillian Bristow

Abstract

Research highlighting the differential resilience of economies to shocks opens up the possibility that long-run growth paths are associated with how regions cope with and recover from such shocks. To date, however, there has been limited exploration into whether long-run evolutionary growth paths or trajectories influence regional economic resilience and what types of trajectories might be more associated with resilience. This article explores the connections between regional economic resilience and regional and national growth trajectories by utilizing a novel set of methods to group regions according to the similarity of their growth paths, identifying the relative importance of national growth for regional growth, and categorizing regions according to their resilience to the 2007–2008 economic crisis. The results suggest that regions have empirically identifiable long-run and path-dependent development trajectories that are significantly associated with industrial employment shares and observed resilience outcomes. Critically, however, these regional growth paths are significantly shaped by national trajectories. Furthermore, regions with greater employment shares in sectors that are less susceptible to demand fluctuations are likely to experience more stable growth rates and be more resilient to economic downturns. This has implications for understanding the importance of evolutionary trends and specifically the role of national contexts and industrial legacies in shaping regional resilience.

Suggested Citation

  • Don J. Webber & Adrian Healy & Gillian Bristow, 2018. "Regional Growth Paths and Resilience: A European Analysis," Economic Geography, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 94(4), pages 355-375, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:recgxx:v:94:y:2018:i:4:p:355-375
    DOI: 10.1080/00130095.2017.1419057
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    Cited by:

    1. Vinko Muštra & Blanka Šimundić & Zvonimir Kuliš, 2020. "Does innovation matter for regional labour resilience? The case of EU regions," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 12(5), pages 955-970, October.
    2. Donald Houston, 2020. "Local resistance to rising unemployment in the context of the COVID‐19 mitigation policies across Great Britain," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 12(6), pages 1189-1209, December.
    3. Burhan Can Karahasan, 2020. "Winners and losers of rapid growth in Turkey: Analysis of the spatial variability of convergence," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 99(3), pages 603-644, June.
    4. Huiwen Gong & Robert Hassink & Juntao Tan & Dacang Huang, 2020. "Regional Resilience in Times of a Pandemic Crisis: The Case of COVID‐19 in China," Tijdschrift voor Economische en Sociale Geografie, Royal Dutch Geographical Society KNAG, vol. 111(3), pages 497-512, July.
    5. René Belderbos & Florence Benoit & Ben Derudder, 2022. "World City Innovation and Service Networks and Economic Growth," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 101(4), pages 979-999, August.
    6. Haller Alina-Petronela & Hârşan Georgia-Daniela Tacu, 2021. "Causes of Sustainable Tourism Resilience in Central and Eastern Europe. The Case of Three Countries: Romania, Bulgaria and Poland," Proceedings of the International Conference on Business Excellence, Sciendo, vol. 15(1), pages 1251-1268, December.
    7. Mathieu P A Steijn & Pierre-Alexandre Balland & Ron Boschma & David L Rigby, 2023. "Technological diversification of U.S. cities during the great historical crises," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 23(6), pages 1303-1344.
    8. Gergő Tóth & Zoltán Elekes & Adam Whittle & Changjun Lee & Dieter F. Kogler, 2022. "Technology Network Structure Conditions the Economic Resilience of Regions," Economic Geography, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 98(4), pages 355-378, August.
    9. Pedro Sánchez-Zamora & Rosa Gallardo-Cobos, 2019. "Diversity, Disparity and Territorial Resilience in the Context of the Economic Crisis: An Analysis of Rural Areas in Southern Spain," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-21, March.
    10. Marianne Sensier & Elvira Uyarra, 2020. "Investigating the Governance Mechanisms that Sustain Regional Economic Resilience and Inclusive Growth," Economics Discussion Paper Series 2005, Economics, The University of Manchester.
    11. Edurne Magro, 2022. "Revisiting the Nexus between Industrial Policy and Regional Economic Resilience in an Era of Grand Societal Challenges," Hacienda Pública Española / Review of Public Economics, IEF, vol. 243(4), pages 101-122, December.
    12. Radu Radulescu & Alexandru Meleca, 2020. "Tourism Resilience and the EU Regional Economy," Proceedings of the 18th International RAIS Conference, August 17-18, 2020 034rr, Research Association for Interdisciplinary Studies.
    13. Cochrane, William & Poot, Jacques & Roskruge, Matthew, 2022. "Urban Resilience and Social Security Uptake: New Zealand Evidence from the Global Financial Crisis and the COVID-19 Pandemic," IZA Discussion Papers 15510, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    14. Mikhail Martynovich & Teis Hansen & Karl-Johan Lundquist, 2023. "Can foundational economy save regions in crisis?," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 23(3), pages 577-599.
    15. Andrea Ascani & Alessandra Faggian & Sandro Montresor & Alessandro Palma, 2021. "Moving (within and across) spatial labour markets in times of COVID-19: evidence from Facebook mobility data on Italian labour market areas," Discussion Paper series in Regional Science & Economic Geography 2021-01, Gran Sasso Science Institute, Social Sciences, revised Jan 2021.
    16. Elias Giannakis & Christos T. Papadas, 2021. "Spatial Connectivity and Regional Economic Resilience in Turbulent Times," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-12, October.
    17. Ruoxi Yu & Xingneng Xia & Tao Huang & Sheng Zhang & Wenguang Zhou, 2024. "Has the Establishment of High-Tech Zones Improved Urban Economic Resilience? Evidence from Prefecture-Level Cities in China," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-24, February.
    18. Kitsos, Anastasios & Grabner, Simone Maria & Incera, Andre Carrascal, 2022. "The role of embeddedness in regional economic resistance," SocArXiv b759j, Center for Open Science.
    19. Huiwen Gong & Robert Hassink & Cassandra Wang, 2021. "Strategic coupling and regional resilience in times of uncertainty: the industrial chain chief model in Zhejiang, China," PEGIS geo-disc-2021_06, Institute for Economic Geography and GIScience, Department of Socioeconomics, Vienna University of Economics and Business.
    20. Martini, Barbara, 2020. "Resilience and economic structure. Are they related?," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 62-91.
    21. Ascani, Andrea & Faggian, Alessandra & Montresor, Sandro & Palma, Alessandro, 2021. "Mobility in times of pandemics: Evidence on the spread of COVID19 in Italy's labour market areas," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 444-454.
    22. Rios, Vicente & Gianmoena, Lisa, 2020. "The link between quality of government and regional resilience in Europe," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 42(5), pages 1064-1084.
    23. Ganau, Roberto & Kilroy, Austin, 2023. "Detecting economic growth pathways in the EU’s lagging regions," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 115162, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    24. Agnė Žičkienė & Rasa Melnikienė & Mangirdas Morkūnas & Artiom Volkov, 2022. "CAP Direct Payments and Economic Resilience of Agriculture: Impact Assessment," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-24, August.

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