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Effects of market default risk on index option risk-neutral moments

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  • Panayiotis C. Andreou

Abstract

We investigate the relative importance of market default risk in explaining the time variation of the S&P 500 Index option-implied risk-neutral moments. The results demonstrate that market default risk is positively (negatively) related to the index risk-neutral volatility and skewness (kurtosis). These relations are robust in the presence of other factors relevant to the dynamics and microstructure nature of the spot and option markets. Overall, this study sheds light on a set of economic determinants which help to understand the daily evolution of the S&P 500 Index option-implied risk-neutral distributions. Our findings offer explanations of why theoretical predictions of option pricing models are not consistent with what is observed in practice and provide support that market default risk is important to asset pricing.

Suggested Citation

  • Panayiotis C. Andreou, 2015. "Effects of market default risk on index option risk-neutral moments," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(12), pages 2021-2040, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:quantf:v:15:y:2015:i:12:p:2021-2040
    DOI: 10.1080/14697688.2014.1000367
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    Cited by:

    1. Andreou, Christoforos K. & Andreou, Panayiotis C. & Lambertides, Neophytos, 2021. "Financial distress risk and stock price crashes," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    2. Adland, Roar & Alizadeh, Amir H., 2018. "Explaining price differences between physical and derivative freight contracts," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 20-33.
    3. Chen, Haiwei & Ngo, Thanh, 2018. "Master limited partnerships: Is it a smart investment vehicle?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 11(C), pages 22-36.

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