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Financial development–economic growth nexus in Pakistan: new evidence from the Markov switching model

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  • Abdul Rahman
  • Muhammad Arshad Khan
  • Lanouar Charfeddine
  • David McMillan

Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of financial development on economic growth in Pakistan using the Markov Switching Model over the period 1980–2017. The results based on two-state Markov switching model confirm the Schumpeter’s view that finance spurs growth. The result reveals that financial development augments economic growth in both high and low economic growth regimes in Pakistan. However, the impact of financial development on economic growth is found to be relatively higher in the high-growth regime. This implies that economic growth responds differently to financial development in low-growth and high-growth regimes. Among the control variables, trade openness and government expenditures impact economic growth positively, while labour force exerts a negative impact on economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Abdul Rahman & Muhammad Arshad Khan & Lanouar Charfeddine & David McMillan, 2020. "Financial development–economic growth nexus in Pakistan: new evidence from the Markov switching model," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 1716446-171, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:oaefxx:v:8:y:2020:i:1:p:1716446
    DOI: 10.1080/23322039.2020.1716446
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Zhou, Rong & Su, Kaihua & Zheng, Li, 2022. "Natural resources led growth and the role of financial development: Evidence from Next-11 economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    2. Adewale Samuel Hassan & Daniel Francois Meyer, 2022. "Interplay between Finance and Institutions in the Development Process of the Industrial Sector: Evidence from South Africa," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-20, October.
    3. Rahman, Abdul & Khan, Muhammad Arshad & Charfeddine, Lanouar, 2021. "Regime-specific impact of financial reforms on economic growth in Pakistan," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 161-182.
    4. Wang, Kai-Hua & Liu, Lu & Adebayo, Tomiwa Sunday & Lobon, Oana-Ramona & Claudia, Moldovan Nicoleta, 2021. "Fiscal decentralization, political stability and resources curse hypothesis: A case of fiscal decentralized economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    5. Clement Olalekan Olaniyi & Sunday Idowu Oladeji, 2021. "Moderating the effect of institutional quality on the finance–growth nexus: insights from West African countries," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 54(1), pages 43-74, February.
    6. Manuel Ennes Ferreira & João Dias & Jelson Serafim, 2022. "Stock Market and Economic Growth: Evidence from Africa," Working Papers REM 2022/0228, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.

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