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Fiscal policy, monetary policy and external imbalances: Cross-country evidence from Africa's three largest economies

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  • Lumengo Bonga-Bonga

Abstract

This paper determines which of the three policy approaches: fiscal, monetary and exchange rate can better address external imbalances in the three largest African economies, Nigeria, South Africa and Egypt. To this end, use is made of the panel vector autoregressive model to assess the dynamic effects of shocks emanating from the three policy approaches. The findings of the paper indicate that unlike in many emerging and developed economies the current accounts of these three economies react to fiscal, monetary and exchange rate shocks. More particular, the results of the empirical analysis show that the appreciations of the currencies in the three economies lead to current account surpluses. This is mainly attributed to the fact that most African economies have a high propensity to import with limited productive capacity for exports.

Suggested Citation

  • Lumengo Bonga-Bonga, 2019. "Fiscal policy, monetary policy and external imbalances: Cross-country evidence from Africa's three largest economies," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(2), pages 123-136, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jitecd:v:28:y:2019:i:2:p:123-136
    DOI: 10.1080/09638199.2018.1507045
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    Cited by:

    1. Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo & Kinfack, Emilie, 2019. "The growth effect of trade openness on African countries: evidence from using an Instrumental Variable Panel Smooth Transition Model," MPRA Paper 92111, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Usman, Ojonugwa & Alola, Andrew Adewale & Akadiri, Seyi Saint, 2022. "Effects of domestic material consumption, renewable energy, and financial development on environmental sustainability in the EU-28: Evidence from a GMM panel-VAR," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 239-251.
    3. Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo, 2023. "Do trade frictions distort the purchasing power parity (PPP) hypothesis? A closer look," MPRA Paper 119196, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Rikhotso, Prayer & Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo, 2021. "Exchange rate misalignments and current accounts in BRICS countries," MPRA Paper 107973, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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