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Testing competing destinations gravity models – evidence from BRIC International

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  • Felipa de Mello-Sampayo

Abstract

This paper derives and compares two competing-destinations formulation of the gravity model applied to trade in intermediates. We build a probabilistic input demand function from entropy maximization in which firms may purchase some of their inputs from other firms paying the required transport costs and accounting for the spatial structure of trading partners in a geographical system. In the second model, firms trade inputs to reduce the overall cost of production and intermediate sales are encouraged by low distance costs and low competition from alternative input sources. Even if the gravity equations look similar, we show that their underlying structures are different, and that the type of gravity equation has significant implications for the estimation technique adopted.

Suggested Citation

  • Felipa de Mello-Sampayo, 2017. "Testing competing destinations gravity models – evidence from BRIC International," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(3), pages 277-294, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:jitecd:v:26:y:2017:i:3:p:277-294
    DOI: 10.1080/09638199.2016.1239752
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Badi H. Baltagi & Peter Egger & Michael Pfaffermayr, 2014. "Panel Data Gravity Models of International Trade," CESifo Working Paper Series 4616, CESifo.
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    1. Felipa de Mello-Sampayo, 2017. "Competing-destinations gravity model applied to trade in intermediate goods," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(19), pages 1378-1384, November.
    2. Tranos, Emmanouil & Incera, Andre Carrascal & Willis, George, 2022. "Using the web to predict regional trade flows: data extraction, modelling, and validation," OSF Preprints 9bu5z, Center for Open Science.
    3. Shikha Gupta & Nand Kumar, 2021. "Three decades of narrow globalization: Evaluating India's exports between 1991 and 2017," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(2), pages 343-359, March.

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