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Multivariate Fay-Herriot models for small area estimation with application to household consumption per capita expenditure in Indonesia

Author

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  • Azka Ubaidillah
  • Khairil Anwar Notodiputro
  • Anang Kurnia
  • I. Wayan Mangku

Abstract

Multivariate Fay-Herriot (MFH) models become popular methods to produce reliable parameter estimates of some related multiple characteristics of interest that are commonly produced from many surveys. This article studies the application of MFH models for estimating household consumption per capita expenditure (HCPE) on food and HCPE of non-food. Both of those associated direct estimates, which are obtained from the National Socioeconomic Surveys conducted regularly by Statistics Indonesia, have a strong correlation. The effects of correlation in MFH models are evaluated by employing a simulation study. The simulation showed that the strength of correlation between variables of interest, instead of the number of domains, plays a prominent role in MFH models. The application showed that MFH models have more efficient than univariate models in terms of standard errors of regression parameter estimates. The roots of mean squared errors (RMSEs) of the estimates obtained from the empirical best linear unbiased prediction (EBLUP) estimators of MFH models are smaller than RMSEs obtained from the direct estimators. Based on MFH model, the HCPE estimates of food by districts in Central Java, Indonesia, are higher than the HCPE estimates of non-food. The average of HCPE estimates of food and non-food in Central Java, Indonesia in 2015 are IDR 383,100.6 and IDR 280,653.6, respectively.

Suggested Citation

  • Azka Ubaidillah & Khairil Anwar Notodiputro & Anang Kurnia & I. Wayan Mangku, 2019. "Multivariate Fay-Herriot models for small area estimation with application to household consumption per capita expenditure in Indonesia," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(15), pages 2845-2861, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:japsta:v:46:y:2019:i:15:p:2845-2861
    DOI: 10.1080/02664763.2019.1615420
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Angelo Moretti, 2023. "Estimation of small area proportions under a bivariate logistic mixed model," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 57(4), pages 3663-3684, August.
    2. Jan Pablo Burgard & Domingo Morales & Anna-Lena Wölwer, 2022. "Small area estimation of socioeconomic indicators for sampled and unsampled domains," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 106(2), pages 287-314, June.
    3. Jan Pablo Burgard & Joscha Krause & Domingo Morales, 2022. "A measurement error Rao–Yu model for regional prevalence estimation over time using uncertain data obtained from dependent survey estimates," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 31(1), pages 204-234, March.
    4. Joscha Krause & Jan Pablo Burgard & Domingo Morales, 2022. "Robust prediction of domain compositions from uncertain data using isometric logratio transformations in a penalized multivariate Fay–Herriot model," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 76(1), pages 65-96, February.
    5. María Dolores Esteban & María José Lombardía & Esther López‐Vizcaíno & Domingo Morales & Agustín Pérez, 2022. "Empirical best prediction of small area bivariate parameters," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 49(4), pages 1699-1727, December.

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