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An empirical study on the threshold cointegration of Chinese A and H cross-listed shares

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  • Haiqiang Chen
  • Yanli Zhu

Abstract

We investigate the dynamic relationship between the prices of Chinese A and H market cross-listed shares using the Enders-Siklos threshold cointegration approach. Our data are the daily closing prices of the Hang Seng China AH (A) index and the Hang Seng China AH (H) index from 4 January 2006 to 1 November 2013. We find a threshold cointegration between these two indices, instead of the linear cointegration well established in the literature. The short-term adjustment to the equilibrium shows an asymmetric effect according to the price deviation from the equilibrium. Moreover, using a Granger causality test, we find a bi-directional causality between these two markets, indicating a close relationship between them. A pairs trading rule, based on the estimated threshold cointegration model, demonstrates the usefulness of our results as it generates a significantly higher return than a naive buy-and-hold trading rule.

Suggested Citation

  • Haiqiang Chen & Yanli Zhu, 2015. "An empirical study on the threshold cointegration of Chinese A and H cross-listed shares," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(11), pages 2406-2419, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:japsta:v:42:y:2015:i:11:p:2406-2419
    DOI: 10.1080/02664763.2015.1034660
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    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Zhimin & Ibragimov, Rustam, 2019. "One country, two systems? The heavy-tailedness of Chinese A- and H- share markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 115-141.
    2. Zouheir Ahmed Mighri & Majid Ibrahim Alsaggaf, 2019. "Asymmetric Threshold Cointegration and Nonlinear Adjustment between Oil Prices and Financial Stress," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(3), pages 87-105.
    3. Kourtzidis, Stavros A. & Tzeremes, Panayiotis & Tzeremes, Nickolaos G., 2018. "Re-evaluating the energy consumption-economic growth nexus for the United States: An asymmetric threshold cointegration analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 537-545.
    4. Xunfa Lu & Zhitao Ye & Kin Keung Lai & Hairong Cui & Xiao Lin, 2022. "Time-Varying Causalities in Prices and Volatilities between the Cross-Listed Stocks in Chinese Mainland and Hong Kong Stock Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-19, February.
    5. Zouheir Mighri & Faysal Mansouri, 2016. "Asymmetric price transmission within the Argentinean stock market: an asymmetric threshold cointegration approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 51(3), pages 1115-1149, November.

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