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A new behavioural model for fertility schedules

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  • Arindam Gupta
  • Samba Siva Rao Pasupuleti

Abstract

Modelling age-specific fertility rates is of great importance in demography because of their influence on population growth. Although we have a variety of fertility models in the demographic literature, most of them do not have any demographic interpretation for their parameters. It is generally expected that models with behavioural interpretation are more universal than those without any interpretation. Even though the famous Gompertz model has some behavioural interpretation it suffers from other drawbacks. In the present work, we propose a new fertility model, which has its genesis in the generalization of logistic law. The proposed model has good behavioural interpretation, alongside having nice parameter interpretations.

Suggested Citation

  • Arindam Gupta & Samba Siva Rao Pasupuleti, 2013. "A new behavioural model for fertility schedules," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(9), pages 1921-1930, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:japsta:v:40:y:2013:i:9:p:1921-1930
    DOI: 10.1080/02664763.2013.800033
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Joshua R. Goldstein, 2010. "A behavioral Gompertz model for cohort fertility schedules in low and moderate fertility populations," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2010-021, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
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