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Civil War Settlements, Size of Governing Coalition, and Durability of Peace in Post--Civil War States

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  • Madhav Joshi
  • T. David Mason

Abstract

We examine the ways in which the size of the governing coalition in a post--civil war state affects the durability of the peace. Previous studies relate the durability of the peace to the outcome of the civil war, the extent and forms of power-sharing arrangements, and the role of third-party security guarantors. We argue that the way conflict terminates and the power-sharing agreements between former protagonists structure the composition of governing coalition in the post--civil war state. Any settlement to civil war that broadens the size of the governing coalition should increase actors' incentives to sustain the peace rather than renew the armed conflict. Peace is more likely to fail where the governing coalition is smaller because those excluded from the governing coalition have little to lose from resuming armed rebellion. To test these propositions, we analyze data on post--civil war peace spells from 1946--2005.

Suggested Citation

  • Madhav Joshi & T. David Mason, 2011. "Civil War Settlements, Size of Governing Coalition, and Durability of Peace in Post--Civil War States," International Interactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(4), pages 388-413, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:ginixx:v:37:y:2011:i:4:p:388-413
    DOI: 10.1080/03050629.2011.622645
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    Cited by:

    1. Sabine C Carey & Belén González, 2021. "The legacy of war: The effect of militias on postwar repression," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 38(3), pages 247-269, May.
    2. Haass, Felix & Ottmann, Martin, 2017. "Profits from Peace: The Political Economy of Power-Sharing and Corruption," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 60-74.
    3. Krista Wiegand & Eric Keels, 2019. "Oil Wealth, Winning Coalitions, and Duration of Civil Wars," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 63(4), pages 1077-1105, April.
    4. Felix Haass, 2021. "The democracy dilemma. Aid, power-sharing governments, and post-conflict democratization," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 38(2), pages 200-223, March.
    5. Eric Keels, 2017. "Oil Wealth, Post-conflict Elections, and Postwar Peace Failure," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 61(5), pages 1021-1045, May.
    6. Madhav Joshi & Jason Michael Quinn, 2020. "Civil war termination and foreign direct investment, 1989–2012," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 37(4), pages 451-470, July.

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