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Financial stress relationships among Euro area countries: an R-vine copula approach

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  • Dalu Zhang
  • Meilan Yan
  • Andreas Tsopanakis

Abstract

One of the biggest challenges of keeping Euro area financial stability is the negative co-movement between the vulnerability of public finance, the financial sector, security markets stresses as well as economic growth, especially in peripheral economies. This paper utilizes a ARMA-GARCH based R-vine copula method to explore tail dependance between the Financial Stress Indices of 11 euro area countries with an aim of understanding how financial stress are interacting with each other. We find larger economies in the Euro area tend to have closer upper tail dependence in terms of positive shocks, while smaller economies tend to have closer lower tail dependence with respect to negative shocks. The R-vine copula results underline the complex dynamics of financial stress relations existing between Euro Area economies. The estimated R-vine shows Spain, Italy, France and Belgium are the most inter-connected nodes which underlying they might be more efficient targets to treat in order to achieve a quicker stabilizing. Our results relate to the fact that Eurozone is not a unified policy making area, therefore, it needs to follow divergent policies for taming the effects of financial instability to different regions or groups of economies that are more interconnected.

Suggested Citation

  • Dalu Zhang & Meilan Yan & Andreas Tsopanakis, 2018. "Financial stress relationships among Euro area countries: an R-vine copula approach," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(17), pages 1587-1608, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:eurjfi:v:24:y:2018:i:17:p:1587-1608
    DOI: 10.1080/1351847X.2017.1419273
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    Cited by:

    1. Anastasiou, Dimitrios & Kapopoulos, Panayotis, 2021. "Dynamic linkages among financial stability, house prices and residential investment in Greece," MPRA Paper 107833, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Xiao, Qin & Yan, Meilan & Zhang, Dalu, 2023. "Commodity market financialization, herding and signals: An asymmetric GARCH R-vine copula approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    3. Ozcelebi, Oguzhan, 2020. "Assessing the impacts of financial stress index of developed countries on the exchange market pressure index of emerging countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 288-302.
    4. repec:mth:ijafr8:v:8:y:2018:i:4:p:115-138 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Zhikai Peng & Jinchuan Ke, 2022. "Spillover Effect of the Interaction between Fintech and the Real Economy Based on Tail Risk Dependent Structure Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-22, June.
    6. Sun Meng & Yan Chen, 2023. "Market Volatility Spillover, Network Diffusion, and Financial Systemic Risk Management: Financial Modeling and Empirical Study," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-16, March.
    7. Tan, Sook-Rei & Li, Changtai & Yeap, Xiu Wei, 2022. "A time-varying copula approach for constructing a daily financial systemic stress index," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    8. Apostolakis, Georgios N. & Giannellis, Nikolaos & Papadopoulos, Athanasios P., 2019. "Financial stress and asymmetric shocks transmission within the Eurozone. How fragile is the common monetary policy?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).

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