IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/defpea/v33y2022i1p42-58.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Guns and Blood: A Review of Geopolitical Risk and Defence Expenditures

Author

Listed:
  • Khalid Khan
  • Chi-Wei Su
  • Syed Kumail Abbas Rizvi

Abstract

This study evaluates the possibility of having a causal link between geopolitical risk (GPR) and defence expenditure (DE) by employing panel bootstrap Granger causality method. The results highlight the causality running from GPR to DE in China, India, and Saudi Arabia. In other words, the GPR in the form of border disputes, wars and terrorism threats can pursuade countries to increase their defence expenditure. The results we obtain for these three countries are also supported by the neoclassical model, which asserts that GPR is a significant contributor to DE. Contrary to above, there are evidences for reverse causality as well where DE is causing GPR in South Korea and Turkey. The most probable reasons for reverse causality could be the various alliances for regional security by the countries and their dependency on the import of military equipment. The results indicate an insignificant relationship between GPR and DE in Brazil, Israel, and Russia; where the DE is mainly determined by the internal political system and its contribution towards employment generation. On the basis of our results, it can be inferred that the convergence of regional interests in the form of a peaceful solution of disputes may guarantee security. Also, the formulation of the policies that are independent and isolated from the influence of external powers, can help in controlling the ever-increasing DE and GPR in these countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Khalid Khan & Chi-Wei Su & Syed Kumail Abbas Rizvi, 2022. "Guns and Blood: A Review of Geopolitical Risk and Defence Expenditures," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(1), pages 42-58, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:defpea:v:33:y:2022:i:1:p:42-58
    DOI: 10.1080/10242694.2020.1802836
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/10242694.2020.1802836
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/10242694.2020.1802836?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Gurdgiev, Constantin & Henrichsen, Aaron & Mulhair, Andrew, 2022. "The budgets of wars: Analysis of the U.S. defense stocks in the Post-Cold War era," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 335-346.
    2. Osama D. Sweidan, 2023. "Geopolitical Risk and Income Inequality: Evidence from the US Economy," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 169(1), pages 575-597, September.
    3. Abel Ezeoha & Anthony Igwe & Chinwe Okoyeuzu & Chibuike Uche, 2023. "The fiscal effects of armed conflicts in Africa," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 35(4), pages 444-456, December.
    4. Hille, Erik, 2023. "Europe's energy crisis: Are geopolitical risks in source countries of fossil fuels accelerating the transition to renewable energy?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PA).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:defpea:v:33:y:2022:i:1:p:42-58. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/GDPE20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.