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Do financial inclusion and R&D matter? Exploring the effect of uncertainty on economic performance

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  • Chien-Chiang Lee
  • Chih-Wei Wang
  • Chen-Min Pan

Abstract

Using a dataset that includes 24 developing and developed countries for the period 1984–2017, this research adopts outstanding deposits with commercial banks to GDP ratio and research and development (R&D) expenditure to GDP ratio as main proxies of financial inclusion and R&D, respectively. The empirical results suggest that promoting financial inclusion or R&D can offset the harmful effects of uncertainty on economic performance and that the impact of R&D with uncertainty is statistically significantly greater than the impact of financial inclusion with uncertainty. Moreover, our subsample analyses indicate that the mitigating effects of financial inclusion and R&D exist in nonfinancial crisis periods, developed countries, and the European region. To address endogeneity concerns, we employ six instrumental variables in a two-stage least squares regression (IV-2SLS). Our findings have useful policy implications to government for dealing with economic policy uncertainty for the economy’s benefit.

Suggested Citation

  • Chien-Chiang Lee & Chih-Wei Wang & Chen-Min Pan, 2022. "Do financial inclusion and R&D matter? Exploring the effect of uncertainty on economic performance," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(3), pages 307-325, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:3:p:307-325
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1950909
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    Cited by:

    1. João Jungo & Mara Madaleno & Anabela Botelho, 2022. "Financial Regulation, Financial Inclusion and Competitiveness in the Banking Sector in SADC and SAARC Countries: The Moderating Role of Financial Stability," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-24, March.
    2. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Wang, Fuhao, 2022. "How does digital inclusive finance affect carbon intensity?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 174-190.
    3. Wang, Chih-Wei & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Wu, Lin-Tan, 2023. "The relationship between cash flow uncertainty and extreme risk: International evidence," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    4. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Wang, Chih-Wei & Xu, Zhi-Ting, 2023. "Signaling effect of cash holdings adjustment before bond issuance," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).

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