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Economic uncertainties, macroeconomic announcements and sukuk spreads

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  • Faruk Balli
  • Mabruk Billah
  • Hatice Ozer Balli
  • Russell Gregory-Allen

Abstract

With the large expansion of Islamic finance in the recent years, sukuks (Islamic bonds), which are the Shariah-compliant substitute to conventional bonds, are now becoming more prominent. Although there are numerous studies that have looked at the impact of global shocks on conventional bond spreads, little attention has been paid to explore the effect of the global shocks to the sukuk spreads. This study’s objective was thus to examine the impact of factors affecting the conventional bond and sukuk markets, including financial factors, economic policy uncertainty, U.S. and EU macroeconomic news, using an ordinary least squares approach. The results indicated that for regions and countries such as the GCC (Gulf Cooperation Council), Malaysia, Indonesia, Turkey, and Singapore, global shocks play a vital role in explaining sukuk spreads. Furthermore, employing a matched sample featuring firms from these regions and countries revealed that European and U.S. macroeconomic announcements and economic policy uncertainty have a significantly greater impact on sukuk spreads than on conventional bond spreads.

Suggested Citation

  • Faruk Balli & Mabruk Billah & Hatice Ozer Balli & Russell Gregory-Allen, 2020. "Economic uncertainties, macroeconomic announcements and sukuk spreads," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(35), pages 3748-3769, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:35:p:3748-3769
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1721424
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    Cited by:

    1. Balli, Faruk & Billah, Mabruk & Balli, Hatice Ozer & De Bruin, Anne, 2022. "Spillovers between Sukuks and Shariah-compliant equity markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    2. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Bouri, Elie, 2023. "Testing the forecasting power of global economic conditions for the volatility of international REITs using a GARCH-MIDAS approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 303-314.
    3. Umar, Zaghum & Riaz, Yasir & Shahab, Yasir & Teplova, Tamara, 2023. "Network connectedness of the term structure of yield curve and global Sukuks," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    4. Yuanting Xia & Wenxiu Hu & Zhenxing Su, 2022. "Economic Policy Uncertainty, Social Financing Scale and Local Fiscal Sustainability: Evidence from Local Governments in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-19, June.
    5. Billah, Mabruk & Amar, Amine Ben & Balli, Faruk, 2023. "The extreme return connectedness between Sukuk and green bonds and their determinants and consequences for investors," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).

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