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Strategies can be expensive too! The value spread and asset allocation in global equity markets

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  • Adam Zaremba
  • Mehmet Umutlu

Abstract

Is the value spread useful for forecasting returns on quantitative equity strategies for country selection? To test this, we examine a sample of 120 country-level equity strategies replicated within 72 stock markets for the years 1996–2017. The value spread is a powerful and robust predictor of strategy returns in the cross-section, subsuming other methods based on momentum, reversal, or seasonality. Going long (short) the strategies with the broadest (narrowest) value spread produces significant four-factor model alphas, markedly outperforming an equal-weighted benchmark of all of the strategies. The results are robust to many considerations.

Suggested Citation

  • Adam Zaremba & Mehmet Umutlu, 2018. "Strategies can be expensive too! The value spread and asset allocation in global equity markets," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(60), pages 6529-6546, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:60:p:6529-6546
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1489523
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    Cited by:

    1. Adam Zaremba & Jacob Koby Shemer, 2018. "Price-Based Investment Strategies," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-319-91530-2, September.
    2. Umutlu, Mehmet & Bengitöz, Pelin, 2020. "The cross-section of industry equity returns and global tactical asset allocation across regions and industries," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    3. Zaremba, Adam & Umutlu, Mehmet & Maydybura, Alina, 2020. "Where have the profits gone? Market efficiency and the disappearing equity anomalies in country and industry returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    4. Umutlu, Mehmet, 2019. "Does idiosyncratic volatility matter at the global level?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 252-268.
    5. Pelin Bengitöz & Mehmet Umutlu, 2023. "Are return predictors of industrial equity indexes common across regions?," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 24(5), pages 396-418, September.
    6. Yusuf Olatunji Oyedeko & Olusola Segun Kolawole & Regina Samson & Olena Voloshyna, 2023. "Moderating Effect of Tactical Asset Allocation on the Risk-Return Relationship in the Nigerian Stock Market," Oblik i finansi, Institute of Accounting and Finance, issue 2, pages 83-91, June.

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