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Asset pricing and downside risk in the Australian share market

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  • Lakshman Alles
  • Louis Murray

Abstract

As downside risk has been identified as a separate risk exposure to investors, we investigate whether downside beta and co-skewness exposure impact on the return to investors in Australian equities. Although considered as a developed market, the Australian Securities Exchange merits separate investigation, as it is small and concentrated on some sectors, when compared with the major developed markets. As realized returns are a proxy for expected returns, we separately examine conditional returns in upturn and downturn periods. We find that both downside risks are separately priced by investors, and that our results are unaffected by the inclusion of a range of company characteristics. We subsequently confirm that returns to each downside risk are not related. In robustness tests, we conclude that the return to downside risk cannot be explained by a size, a value, or a momentum premium. Although it also has explanatory power, the inclusion of a leverage factor also does not reduce the explanatory power of downside risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Lakshman Alles & Louis Murray, 2017. "Asset pricing and downside risk in the Australian share market," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(43), pages 4336-4350, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:43:p:4336-4350
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1282143
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    Cited by:

    1. Mohammad Enamul Hoque & Soo-Wah Low, 2020. "Industry Risk Factors and Stock Returns of Malaysian Oil and Gas Industry: A New Look with Mean Semi-Variance Asset Pricing Framework," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(10), pages 1-28, October.
    2. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2021. "Stock market reactions to upside and downside volatility of Bitcoin: A quantile analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    3. Xie, Nan & Wang, Zongrun & Chen, Sicen & Gong, Xu, 2019. "Forecasting downside risk in China’s stock market based on high-frequency data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 517(C), pages 530-541.
    4. Ahadzie, Richard Mawulawoe & Jeyasreedharan, Nagaratnam, 2020. "Trading volume and realized higher-order moments in the Australian stock market," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    5. Richard Mawulawoe Ahadzie & Nagaratnam Jeyasreedharan, 2024. "Higher‐order moments and asset pricing in the Australian stock market," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 64(1), pages 75-128, March.
    6. Huynh, Nhan, 2023. "Unemployment beta and the cross-section of stock returns: Evidence from Australia," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).

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