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The college-to-work transition during the 1990s: evidence from Sweden

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  • M. Gartell

Abstract

This article analyses the time it takes for Swedish college graduates to start a full time job that lasts for 6 months or more. The focus is on the transition over time during the period 1991 to 1999. This period covers both upturns and downturns of the business cycle, providing a unique opportunity to consider the importance of the timing of graduation. The results show that the risk of unemployment and the unemployment duration have varied considerably with the business cycle, both within and between cohorts. For example, the field of education is of more importance for the outcomes during recessions. Further, the relative risk of unemployment has decreased over time for individuals with the highest degree of education whereas the unemployment duration has increased, indicating that the selection into unemployment for this group may have changed over time. This is interesting, not least in the light of the sharp expansion of the higher educational system during the study period.

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  • M. Gartell, 2012. "The college-to-work transition during the 1990s: evidence from Sweden," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(11), pages 1449-1469, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:11:p:1449-1469
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.543078
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    1. Philip Oreopoulos & Till von Wachter & Andrew Heisz, 2006. "The Short- and Long-Term Career Effects of Graduating in a Recession: Hysteresis and Heterogeneity in the Market for College Graduates," NBER Working Papers 12159, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency, 2001. "Annual Report 2001," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 14271, December.
    3. Gartell, Marie, 2009. "Unemployment and subsequent earnings for Swedish college graduates. A study of scarring effects," Arbetsrapport 2009:2, Institute for Futures Studies.
    4. Gartell, Marie, 2009. "Unemployment and subsequent earnings for Swedish college graduates: a study of scarring effects," Working Paper Series 2009:10, IFAU - Institute for Evaluation of Labour Market and Education Policy.
    5. Nordström Skans, Oskar, 2004. "Scarring effects of the first labour market experience: A sibling based analysis," Working Paper Series 2004:14, IFAU - Institute for Evaluation of Labour Market and Education Policy.
    6. Gartell, Marie, 2010. "The College-to-work Transition during the 1990:s. Evidence from Sweden," Arbetsrapport 2010:3, Institute for Futures Studies.
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