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The role of disaggregation of earnings in stock valuation and earnings forecasting

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  • Pengguo Wang

Abstract

This paper compares and contrasts two accounting information systems, the aggregate earnings system and the disaggregated cash flow/accrual system, examining their relative performance in stock valuation and in forecasting of earnings. It finds, in general, that the forecasts of earnings and predicted market values from the cash flow and accrual system have smaller forecasting errors than those from the aggregate earnings system. The adjusted R -squareds from the disaggregated system are in the main higher than those from the aggregated system when considering the explanatory power of the model-predicted values. The results also show that the cash flow and accrual system forecasts dominate the aggregate earnings system forecasts in a large majority of industries.

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  • Pengguo Wang, 2013. "The role of disaggregation of earnings in stock valuation and earnings forecasting," Accounting and Business Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(5), pages 530-557, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:acctbr:v:43:y:2013:i:5:p:530-557
    DOI: 10.1080/00014788.2013.804794
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