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Wie hängen Lohnhöhe und Beschäftigung zusammen?
[Wage Levels and Employment — On Economic Policy Advice Using the Multi-Country Model NiGEM]

Author

Listed:
  • Thomas Theobald

    (IMK der Hans-Böckler-Stiftung)

  • Rudolf Zwiener

    (IMK der Hans-Böckler-Stiftung)

  • Camille Logeay

    (Hochschule für Technik und Wirtschaft Berlin)

Abstract

Zusammenfassung Der Zusammenhang zwischen Lohn- und Beschäftigungsentwicklung ist eine theoretisch umstrittene Frage. Die verschiedenen Denkschulen stimmen nicht nur bezüglich der Größenordnungen der Effekte nicht überein, sondern ziehen zum Teil auch unterschiedliche Wirkungskanäle heran und betrachten unterschiedliche Zeiträume. Daher wird sogenannten evidenzbasierten Studien besondere Aufmerksamkeit geschenkt, um die Frage zu beantworten, wie sich eine Lohnerhöhung letztendlich auf die Beschäftigung auswirkt. Das makroökonometrische Mehr-Länder-Modell NiGEM wurde in den letzten Jahrzehnten in der wirtschaftspolitischen Beratung in diesem Kontext vielfach genutzt, auch von der Deutschen Bundesbank und dem Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung (SVR). Dieser Beitrag knüpft an die Bedeutung des NiGEM-Modells in der wirtschaftspolitischen Beratung an und prüft, inwieweit der dort modellierte Zusammenhang zwischen Lohnhöhe und Beschäftigung empirisch valide ist.

Suggested Citation

  • Thomas Theobald & Rudolf Zwiener & Camille Logeay, 2020. "Wie hängen Lohnhöhe und Beschäftigung zusammen? [Wage Levels and Employment — On Economic Policy Advice Using the Multi-Country Model NiGEM]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 100(10), pages 803-810, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:wirtsc:v:100:y:2020:i:10:d:10.1007_s10273-020-2767-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s10273-020-2767-3
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hantzsche, Arno & Lopresto, Marta & Young, Garry, 2018. "Using NiGEM in uncertain times: Introduction and overview of NiGEM," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 244, pages 1-14, May.
    2. Fabian Lindner & Sabine Stephan & Rudolf Zwiener, 2018. "Dringend gebraucht — aktive Wirtschaftspolitik, um Außenhandelsüberschüsse abzubauen [Why Germany Needs an Active Economic Policy to Reduce Its Foreign Trade Deficit]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 98(9), pages 644-650, September.
    3. Servaas Storm & C.W.M. Naastepad, 2015. "Crisis and Recovery in the German Economy: The Real Lessons," Working Papers Series 10, Institute for New Economic Thinking.
    4. Torsten Niechoj & Ulrike Stein & Sabine Stephan & Rudolf Zwiener, 2011. "Deutsche Arbeitskosten: Eine Quelle der Instabilität im Euroraum," IMK Report 68-2011, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    5. Storm, Servaas & Naastepad, C.W.M., 2015. "Crisis and recovery in the German economy: The real lessons," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 11-24.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C54 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Quantitative Policy Modeling
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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