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Evaluation Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources Over the Upper Reach of the Yellow River Basin

Author

Listed:
  • Xiaowen Zhuang

    (Shandong University of Science and Technology)

  • Yurui Fan

    (Brunel University London)

  • Yongping Li

    (Beijing Normal University
    University of Regina)

  • Chuanbao Wu

    (Shandong University of Science and Technology)

Abstract

In this study, a climate-streamflow modeling framework (CSF) is advanced to generate future climate projections and assess climate change impacts on water. The proposed CSF incorporates global climate models (GCMs), meteorological factors downscaled by the providing regional climate impacts for studies (PRECIS), and stepwise-clustered hydrological model within a general framework. It has advantages in (1) transferring large scale climate variables from global climate models to high-resolution meteorological datasets by the PRECIS, and (2) quantifying the climate change impacts on streamflow simulation by employing the stepwise cluster analysis method to reflect nonlinear relationships between predictand and predictor. Correspondingly, a real case of streamflow simulation at the upper Yellow River basin is applied to demonstrating the efficiency of the CSF. Results disclose that: (i) an increasing trend of average temperature exists in future with the highest temperature increments happening in December under RCP4.5 and more increments occurring in Summer under RCP8.5; (ii) there would be no visible precipitation changes in future Winter when compared with historical precipitation, while remarkable rainfall reduction may occur in May and June; (iii) compared with historical streamflow rates, the future streamflow would mainly change during May to October in which remarkable streamflow reduction may be observed in May but explicit increases may occur in July.

Suggested Citation

  • Xiaowen Zhuang & Yurui Fan & Yongping Li & Chuanbao Wu, 2023. "Evaluation Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources Over the Upper Reach of the Yellow River Basin," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(6), pages 2875-2889, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:37:y:2023:i:6:d:10.1007_s11269-023-03501-4
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-023-03501-4
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Qiang Zhang & Chong-Yu Xu & Tao Yang, 2009. "Variability of Water Resource in the Yellow River Basin of Past 50 Years, China," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 23(6), pages 1157-1170, April.
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    5. B. Fiseha & S. Setegn & A. Melesse & E. Volpi & A. Fiori, 2014. "Impact of Climate Change on the Hydrology of Upper Tiber River Basin Using Bias Corrected Regional Climate Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(5), pages 1327-1343, March.
    6. Ali İ. Genç, 2021. "Products, Sums and Quotients of Upper Truncated Pareto Random Variables with an Application in Hydrology," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(1), pages 369-383, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. G. P. Tsakiris & D. P. Loucks, 2023. "Adaptive Water Resources Management Under Climate Change: An Introduction," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(6), pages 2221-2233, May.

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