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Evaluating Surface Water-groundwater Interactions in Consequence of Changes in Climate and Groundwater Extraction

Author

Listed:
  • Chanchai Petpongpan

    (King Mongkut’s University of Technology Thonburi)

  • Chaiwat Ekkawatpanit

    (King Mongkut’s University of Technology Thonburi)

  • Ryan T. Bailey

    (Colorado State University)

  • Duangrudee Kositgittiwong

    (King Mongkut’s University of Technology Thonburi)

  • Phayom Saraphirom

    (Khon Kaen University)

Abstract

This study explores spatio-temporal patterns of surface water-groundwater interactions in the Yom and Nan River basins, a vulnerable and essential agricultural region in northern Thailand, under various future climate conditions. The SWAT-MODFLOW model performs the coupled simulation of surface/subsurface hydrological processes in the watershed, with projected climate conditions from the three Global Climate Models (MIROC5, CNRM-CM5, and MPI-ESM-MR) under the minimum and maximum Green House Gas emission scenarios, represented as the RCPs 2.6 and 8.5. The results demonstrate that, in the near future (2026–2045) under the two scenarios, a raised air temperature at 0.5–1.0 °C with a 2–16% increment of annual rainfall cause a 7–20% decrease in groundwater recharge from surface water percolation, followed by a 11–21% depletion of groundwater flow to river, while aquifer recharge from the river change negligibly. In the intermediate future (2051–2070) and far future (2076–2095), changes in surface water-groundwater interactions under RCP 2.6 are rather similar to the near future because of insignificant differentiation in climate conditions. Whereas, under RCP 8.5, annual rainfall increases by 26% and produces 4–14% increments of groundwater recharging and groundwater discharge to streamflow, while river seepage increases by 1–18%. These provide key insights into northern Thailand watershed systems to deal with future impacts of climate change on water supply. Graphical Abstract

Suggested Citation

  • Chanchai Petpongpan & Chaiwat Ekkawatpanit & Ryan T. Bailey & Duangrudee Kositgittiwong & Phayom Saraphirom, 2022. "Evaluating Surface Water-groundwater Interactions in Consequence of Changes in Climate and Groundwater Extraction," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(14), pages 5767-5783, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:36:y:2022:i:14:d:10.1007_s11269-022-03334-7
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-022-03334-7
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jolijn Engelenburg & Rosa Hueting & Sjoerd Rijpkema & Adriaan J. Teuling & Remko Uijlenhoet & Fulco Ludwig, 2018. "Impact of Changes in Groundwater Extractions and Climate Change on Groundwater-Dependent Ecosystems in a Complex Hydrogeological Setting," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(1), pages 259-272, January.
    2. Weerayuth Pratoomchai & So Kazama & Sujata Manandhar & Chaiwat Ekkawatpanit & Somkid Saphaokham & Daisuke Komori & Jaray Thongduang, 2015. "Sharing of people’s Perceptions of Past and Future Hydro-Meteorological Changes in the Groundwater Use Area," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(10), pages 3807-3821, August.
    3. Abbas Afshar & Mina Khosravi & Amir Molajou, 2021. "Assessing Adaptability of Cyclic and Non-Cyclic Approach to Conjunctive use of Groundwater and Surface water for Sustainable Management Plans under Climate Change," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(11), pages 3463-3479, September.
    4. Giada Felisa & Giulio Panini & Pietro Pedrazzoli & Vittorio Di Federico, 2022. "Combined Management of Groundwater Resources and Water Supply Systems at Basin Scale Under Climate Change," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(3), pages 915-930, February.
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