IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/testjl/v29y2020i2d10.1007_s11749-019-00663-5.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Fitting spatial max-mixture processes with unknown extremal dependence class: an exploratory analysis tool

Author

Listed:
  • A. Abu-Awwad

    (Université de Lyon)

  • V. Maume-Deschamps

    (Université de Lyon)

  • P. Ribereau

    (Université de Lyon)

Abstract

A flexible model called the max-mixture model has been introduced for modeling situations where the extremal dependence structure type may vary with distance. In this paper, we propose a novel estimation procedure for spatial max-mixture model parameters. Our procedure is based on the madogram, a dependence measure used in geostatistics to describe spatial structures. A nonlinear least squares minimization procedure is applied to obtain the estimators for extremal dependence functions. A simulation study shows that the proposed procedure works well for these models. In an analysis of monthly maxima of daily rainfall data collected over the East of Australia, we implement the proposed estimation procedure for diagnostic and confirmatory purposes.

Suggested Citation

  • A. Abu-Awwad & V. Maume-Deschamps & P. Ribereau, 2020. "Fitting spatial max-mixture processes with unknown extremal dependence class: an exploratory analysis tool," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 29(2), pages 479-522, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:testjl:v:29:y:2020:i:2:d:10.1007_s11749-019-00663-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s11749-019-00663-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11749-019-00663-5
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11749-019-00663-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. R. Huser & A. C. Davison, 2014. "Space–time modelling of extreme events," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 76(2), pages 439-461, March.
    2. Paul Doukhan & Patrice Bertail & Philippe Soulier, 2006. "Dependence in Probability and Statistics," Post-Print hal-00268232, HAL.
    3. Cristiano Varin, 2008. "On composite marginal likelihoods," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 92(1), pages 1-28, February.
    4. Cristiano Varin & Paolo Vidoni, 2005. "A note on composite likelihood inference and model selection," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 92(3), pages 519-528, September.
    5. Anthony W. Ledford & Jonathan A. Tawn, 1997. "Modelling Dependence within Joint Tail Regions," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 59(2), pages 475-499.
    6. Marc G. Genton & Yanyuan Ma & Huiyan Sang, 2011. "On the likelihood function of Gaussian max-stable processes," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 98(2), pages 481-488.
    7. Jennifer L. Wadsworth & Jonathan A. Tawn, 2012. "Dependence modelling for spatial extremes," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 99(2), pages 253-272.
    8. Paul Doukhan & Patrice Bertail & Philippe Soulier, 2006. "Dependence in Probability and Statistics," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-00268232, HAL.
    9. Giuseppe Arbia & Giovanni Lafratta, 2002. "Anisotropic spatial sampling designs for urban pollution," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 51(2), pages 223-234, May.
    10. Philippe Naveau & Armelle Guillou & Daniel Cooley & Jean Diebolt, 2009. "Modelling pairwise dependence of maxima in space," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 96(1), pages 1-17.
    11. Martin Schlather, 2003. "A dependence measure for multivariate and spatial extreme values: Properties and inference," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 90(1), pages 139-156, March.
    12. Padoan, S. A. & Ribatet, M. & Sisson, S. A., 2010. "Likelihood-Based Inference for Max-Stable Processes," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 105(489), pages 263-277.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. A. Abu-Awwad & V. Maume-Deschamps & P. Ribereau, 2021. "Semiparametric estimation for space-time max-stable processes: an F-madogram-based approach," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 241-276, July.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Erhardt, Robert J. & Smith, Richard L., 2012. "Approximate Bayesian computing for spatial extremes," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(6), pages 1468-1481.
    2. Samuel A. Morris & Brian J. Reich & Emeric Thibaud, 2019. "Exploration and Inference in Spatial Extremes Using Empirical Basis Functions," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 24(4), pages 555-572, December.
    3. A. Abu-Awwad & V. Maume-Deschamps & P. Ribereau, 2021. "Semiparametric estimation for space-time max-stable processes: an F-madogram-based approach," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 241-276, July.
    4. Lee, Xing Ju & Hainy, Markus & McKeone, James P. & Drovandi, Christopher C. & Pettitt, Anthony N., 2018. "ABC model selection for spatial extremes models applied to South Australian maximum temperature data," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 128-144.
    5. Padoan, Simone A., 2013. "Extreme dependence models based on event magnitude," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 1-19.
    6. Koch, Erwan & Robert, Christian Y., 2022. "Stochastic derivative estimation for max-stable random fields," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 302(2), pages 575-588.
    7. M. Ghil & Pascal Yiou & Stéphane Hallegatte & B. D. Malamud & P. Naveau & A. Soloviev & P. Friederichs & V. Keilis-Borok & D. Kondrashov & V. Kossobokov & O. Mestre & C. Nicolis & H. W. Rust & P. Sheb, 2011. "Extreme events: dynamics, statistics and prediction," Post-Print hal-00716514, HAL.
    8. Vettori, Sabrina & Huser, Raphael & Segers, Johan & Genton, Marc, 2017. "Bayesian Clustering and Dimension Reduction in Multivariate Extremes," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2017017, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    9. Cooley, Daniel & Davis, Richard A. & Naveau, Philippe, 2010. "The pairwise beta distribution: A flexible parametric multivariate model for extremes," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 101(9), pages 2103-2117, October.
    10. Joshua Hewitt & Miranda J. Fix & Jennifer A. Hoeting & Daniel S. Cooley, 2019. "Improved Return Level Estimation via a Weighted Likelihood, Latent Spatial Extremes Model," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 24(3), pages 426-443, September.
    11. Paola Bortot & Carlo Gaetan, 2016. "Latent Process Modelling of Threshold Exceedances in Hourly Rainfall Series," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 21(3), pages 531-547, September.
    12. Brunella Bonaccorso & Giuseppe T. Aronica, 2016. "Estimating Temporal Changes in Extreme Rainfall in Sicily Region (Italy)," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(15), pages 5651-5670, December.
    13. Wang, Yixin & So, Mike K.P., 2016. "A Bayesian hierarchical model for spatial extremes with multiple durations," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 39-56.
    14. Samuel A. Morris & Brian J. Reich & Emeric Thibaud & Daniel Cooley, 2017. "A space-time skew-t model for threshold exceedances," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 73(3), pages 749-758, September.
    15. Qiurong Cui & Zhengjun Zhang, 2018. "Max-Linear Competing Factor Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(1), pages 62-74, January.
    16. Papastathopoulos, Ioannis & Tawn, Jonathan A., 2016. "Conditioned limit laws for inverted max-stable processes," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 214-228.
    17. Raphaël Huser & Marc G. Genton, 2016. "Non-Stationary Dependence Structures for Spatial Extremes," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 21(3), pages 470-491, September.
    18. Harald Schellander & Tobias Hell, 2018. "Modeling snow depth extremes in Austria," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 94(3), pages 1367-1389, December.
    19. Manaf Ahmed & Véronique Maume‐Deschamps & Pierre Ribereau, 2022. "Recognizing a spatial extreme dependence structure: A deep learning approach," Environmetrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(4), June.
    20. Erwan Koch, 2018. "Extremal dependence and spatial risk measures for insured losses due to extreme winds," Papers 1804.05694, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2019.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:testjl:v:29:y:2020:i:2:d:10.1007_s11749-019-00663-5. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.