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On longitudinal moving average model for prediction of subpopulation total

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  • Tomasz Ża̧dło

Abstract

In the paper the empirical best linear unbiased predictor of the subpopulation total is proposed under some longitudinal model where both temporal and spatial moving average models of profile specific random components are taken into account. Two estimators of the mean square error of the predictor are proposed as well. Considerations are supported by two Monte Carlo simulation studies and the case study. Copyright The Author(s) 2015

Suggested Citation

  • Tomasz Ża̧dło, 2015. "On longitudinal moving average model for prediction of subpopulation total," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 749-771, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:stpapr:v:56:y:2015:i:3:p:749-771
    DOI: 10.1007/s00362-014-0607-5
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Gonzalez-Manteiga, W. & Lombardia, M.J. & Molina, I. & Morales, D. & Santamaria, L., 2007. "Estimation of the mean squared error of predictors of small area linear parameters under a logistic mixed model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(5), pages 2720-2733, February.
    2. Marhuenda, Yolanda & Molina, Isabel & Morales, Domingo, 2013. "Small area estimation with spatio-temporal Fay–Herriot models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 308-325.
    3. Ugarte, M.D. & Goicoa, T. & Militino, A.F. & Durbán, M., 2009. "Spline smoothing in small area trend estimation and forecasting," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(10), pages 3616-3629, August.
    4. Isabel Molina & Nicola Salvati & Monica Pratesi, 2009. "Bootstrap for estimating the MSE of the Spatial EBLUP," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 441-458, August.
    5. Monica Pratesi & Nicola Salvati, 2008. "Small area estimation: the EBLUP estimator based on spatially correlated random area effects," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 17(1), pages 113-141, February.
    6. Esteban, M.D. & Morales, D. & Pérez, A. & Santamaría, L., 2012. "Small area estimation of poverty proportions under area-level time models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(10), pages 2840-2855.
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