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Population Dynamics in Russia in the Context of Global Trends

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  • E. M. Shcherbakova

    (Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences
    National Research University Higher School of Economics)

Abstract

— The article examines the current demographic trends in Russia as compared to population changes in the world and its major regions based on data from the Russian Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat), Eurostat, and the UN Population Division. It is shown that in terms of a number of characteristics of population reproduction—low fertility, ageing population structure, natural population decline—Russia is quite similar to the developed countries group. However, Russia is behind many countries in reducing the mortality rate of the middle-aged and older population, especially in men, and, correspondingly, in life expectancy for all age groups, which results in a noticeable increase in natural population decline and in deformation of the sex structure of the population. The specifics of the age structure of the Russian population that have been formed by a number of demographic waves are such that changes in the number of births and in age group sizes come in waves; this trend will continue in the coming decades. The article also analyzes excess mortality in Russia during the COVID-19 pandemic in comparison with similar data for the European Union (EU-27) and compares healthy life expectancy estimates for Russia, the entire world, individual countries, and different groups of countries by income.

Suggested Citation

  • E. M. Shcherbakova, 2022. "Population Dynamics in Russia in the Context of Global Trends," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 33(4), pages 409-421, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:sorede:v:33:y:2022:i:4:d:10.1134_s1075700722040098
    DOI: 10.1134/S1075700722040098
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mikhail Denisenko & Elena Varshavskaya, 2017. "Working Life Expectancy in Russia," HSE Economic Journal, National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 21(4), pages 592-622.
    2. Anatoly Vishnevsky & Ekaterina Shcherbakova, 2018. "A new stage of demographic change: A warning for economists," Russian Journal of Economics, ARPHA Platform, vol. 4(3), pages 229-248, October.
    3. Соботка Томас & Лутц Вольфганг, 2011. "Коэффициент Суммарной Рождаемости Дает Политикам Дезориентирующие Сигналы: Не Следует Ли Отказаться От Использования Этого Показателя?," Higher School of Economics Economic Journal Экономический журнал Высшей школы экономики, CyberLeninka;Федеральное государственное автономное образовательное учреждение высшего образования «Национальный исследовательский университет «Высшая школа экономики», vol. 15(4), pages 444-471.
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