IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/rnp/ecopol/ep2024.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Impact of New Technologies on the Labor Market: Past Lessons and New Challenges
[Влияние Новых Технологий На Рынок Труда: Прошлые Уроки И Новые Вызовы]

Author

Listed:
  • Lyashok, Victor (Ляшок, Виктор)

    (ussian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Financial Research Institute of the Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation)

  • Maleva, Tatiana (Малева, Татьяна)

    (ussian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration)

  • Lopatina, Marina (Лопатина, Марина)

    (ussian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration)

Abstract

The article is devoted to the review of theoretical and applied studies on the impact of technological progress on the labor market and public policy. Firstly, the influence of previous industrial revolutions is considered. It is shown that new technologies during the last two centuries have been resulting in growth of employment and reduction of working hours. In addition, mass computerization observed in the past few decades has led to polarization of the labor market. Secondly, the concept of the Fourth Industrial Revolution is analyzed. It is pointed out that, despite active discussion of this topic in the mass media and in the expert community, so far the results of the former have been limited and the latest technologies related to it are poorly distributed even in the most developed countries. However, studies devoted to quantitative estimates of automation and labor substitution have a highly controversial methodology. As a result, the majority of alarmist predictions are deemed unfounded. Various studies have indicated that the more likely response to the new technological revolution is not an increase in unemployment, but rather a spread of non-standard employment. Finally, changes in government labor market policy due to technological innovations of recent years are investigated. Despite the persistent intentions to reform the fundamental labor market policies, European employment services continue to apply a standard set of practices. The data available for Russia indicate that the risks of automation and significant changes on the labor market are even lower than in developed countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Lyashok, Victor (Ляшок, Виктор) & Maleva, Tatiana (Малева, Татьяна) & Lopatina, Marina (Лопатина, Марина), 2020. "Impact of New Technologies on the Labor Market: Past Lessons and New Challenges [Влияние Новых Технологий На Рынок Труда: Прошлые Уроки И Новые Вызовы]," Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, vol. 4, pages 62-87, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:rnp:ecopol:ep2024
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://repec.ranepa.ru/rnp/ecopol/ep2024.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gimpelson, Vladimir & Kapeliushnikov, Rostislav, 2016. "Polarization or upgrading? Evolution of employment in transitional Russia," Russian Journal of Economics, Elsevier, vol. 2(2), pages 192-218.
    2. Mikhail Denisenko & Elena Varshavskaya, 2017. "Working Life Expectancy in Russia," HSE Economic Journal, National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 21(4), pages 592-622.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zemtsov, S., 2021. "New technologies and regional development in the modern period," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 51(3), pages 196-207.
    2. Filippi, Emilia & Bannò, Mariasole & Trento, Sandro, 2023. "Automation technologies and their impact on employment: A review, synthesis and future research agenda," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Гильтман М. А. & Антосик Л. В. & Токарева О. Е. & Обухович Н. В., 2021. "Повышение Пенсионного Возраста В России: Итоги 2019 Г. Пример Тюменской Области," Вопросы государственного и муниципального управления // Public administration issues, НИУ ВШЭ, issue 2, pages 154-182.
    2. E. M. Shcherbakova, 2022. "Population Dynamics in Russia in the Context of Global Trends," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 33(4), pages 409-421, August.
    3. Stepan Zemtsov, 2020. "New technologies, potential unemployment and ‘nescience economy’ during and after the 2020 economic crisis," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 12(4), pages 723-743, August.
    4. Stepan Zemtsov & Vera Barinova & Roza Semenova, 2019. "The Risks of Digitalization and the Adaptation of Regional Labor Markets in Russia," Foresight and STI Governance (Foresight-Russia till No. 3/2015), National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 13(2), pages 84-96.
    5. Grishina, E. (Гришина, Е.) & Denisova, I.A. (Денисова, И.) & Dormidontova, Yulia (Дормидонтова, Юлия) & Kazakova, Yuliya (Казакова, Юлия) & Lyashok, Victor (Ляшок, Виктор), 2016. "Analysis of the Causes and Factors of Inequality of Wages in Russia [Анализ Причин И Факторов Неравенства Заработных Плат В России]," Working Papers 3133, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
    6. Mihajlo Jakovljevic & Paula Odete Fernandes & João Paulo Teixeira & Nemanja Rancic & Yuriy Timofeyev & Vladimir Reshetnikov, 2019. "Underlying Differences in Health Spending Within the World Health Organisation Europe Region—Comparing EU15, EU Post-2004, CIS, EU Candidate, and CARINFONET Countries," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(17), pages 1-15, August.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    technological advances; labor market; technological unemployment; working time; labor market policy; labor market polarization;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • J20 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - General
    • J46 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Particular Labor Markets - - - Informal Labor Market

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:rnp:ecopol:ep2024. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: RANEPA maintainer (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/aneeeru.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.