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Intra-annual distribution and decadal change in extreme hydrological events in Xinjiang, Northwestern China

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  • Guili Sun
  • Yaning Chen
  • Weihong Li
  • Cunde Pan
  • Jiang Li
  • Yuhui Yang

Abstract

We examined intra-annual characteristics and decadal change of extreme hydrological events occurring from 1901 to 2010 in Xinjiang, China, using concentration degree, concentration index, and Mann–Kendall tests. The results indicated that the concentration index in Xinjiang reached a maximum in summer for all areas, demonstrating that extreme hydrological events occurred mainly during summer (although Altay also showed a high winter concentration index). Intra-annual distribution was most concentrated in Turpan and Urumqi, followed by Kuytun–Shihezi and Aksu, with the concentration degree smallest in Altay. The frequency of extreme hydrological events exhibited an obvious increasing trend from 1901 to 2010, particularly post 1970s. Based on the results obtained in this study, the frequency, magnitude, and intensity of extreme hydrological events are expected to increase over time. In addition, the concentration degree and concentration index used to analyze intra-annual distribution of extreme hydrological events were proven to be reliable and will be useful for future studies. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2014

Suggested Citation

  • Guili Sun & Yaning Chen & Weihong Li & Cunde Pan & Jiang Li & Yuhui Yang, 2014. "Intra-annual distribution and decadal change in extreme hydrological events in Xinjiang, Northwestern China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 70(1), pages 119-133, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:70:y:2014:i:1:p:119-133
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-012-0242-1
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Z. Xu & Y. Chen & J. Li, 2004. "Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources in the Tarim River Basin," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 18(5), pages 439-458, October.
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