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Flood forecasting and analysis within the Ulus Basin, Turkey, using geographic information systems

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  • Nurünnisa Usul
  • Burak Turan

Abstract

Floods have been the most severe natural disasters in the West Black Sea Region of Turkey for many years; therefore Ulus Basin is selected as a study area for a thorough hydrologic flood analysis. The lack of embankments around the Ulus River and careless changes to the riverbed made by villagers, resulted in major flood events in the basin, causing significant damage in the area. In this study, the hydrodynamic characteristics of the basin and the riverbed are determined by calibrating the hydraulic module of the MIKE 11 modeling system with the observed 1991 flood. Then, for the 25-, 50- and 100-year floods the highest water levels in the river are forecasted by integration of the MIKE 11 hydrologic and hydraulic modules. Afterwards, inundation maps are obtained by using together the hydraulic and GIS modules of the MIKE 11 system. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2006

Suggested Citation

  • Nurünnisa Usul & Burak Turan, 2006. "Flood forecasting and analysis within the Ulus Basin, Turkey, using geographic information systems," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 39(2), pages 213-229, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:39:y:2006:i:2:p:213-229
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-006-0024-8
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    Cited by:

    1. Hakan Aksu & Mahmut Cetin & Hafzullah Aksoy & Sait Genar Yaldiz & Isilsu Yildirim & Gulsah Keklik, 2022. "Spatial and temporal characterization of standard duration-maximum precipitation over Black Sea Region in Turkey," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 111(3), pages 2379-2405, April.
    2. H. Zeinivand & F. De Smedt, 2010. "Prediction of snowmelt floods with a distributed hydrological model using a physical snow mass and energy balance approach," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 54(2), pages 451-468, August.
    3. Mohammad Shehata & Hideki Mizunaga, 2019. "Geospatial analysis of surface hydrological parameters for Kyushu Island, Japan," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 96(1), pages 33-52, March.
    4. Ali Kömüşcü & Seyfullah Çelik, 2013. "Analysis of the Marmara flood in Turkey, 7–10 September 2009: an assessment from hydrometeorological perspective," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 66(2), pages 781-808, March.

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