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Prediction of future censored lifetimes from mixture exponential distribution

Author

Listed:
  • Omar M. Bdair

    (Al-Balqa Applied University
    McMaster University)

  • Mohammad Z. Raqab

    (The University of Jordan)

Abstract

On the basis of a Type-II censored sample, Barakat et al. (Predicting future lifetimes of mixture exponential distribution, Commun Stat Simul Comput https://doi.org/10.1080/03610918.2020.1715434 , 2020) considered the problem of predicting the unobserved censored units from a mixture exponential distribution with known parameters. They then discussed how to use the pivotal quantity for obtaining prediction intervals for non-random and random sample size when all parameters are known. In this work, we consider the same problem of prediction where the model parameters involving the scale parameters as well as the mixing proportion parameter are all unknown. Further, we propose different prediction methods for obtaining prediction intervals of future lifetimes including likelihood, highest conditional median, and parametric bootstrap methods. In this set-up, two cases are considered. In the first case, we assume that the sample size is non-random, while in the second case, the sample size is assumed to be random number. It is shown from our numerical results that the parametric bootstrap-based prediction intervals are comparable in terms of coverage probability and very competitive in terms of average length when compared to all other prediction intervals considered in this paper.

Suggested Citation

  • Omar M. Bdair & Mohammad Z. Raqab, 2022. "Prediction of future censored lifetimes from mixture exponential distribution," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 85(7), pages 833-857, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:metrik:v:85:y:2022:i:7:d:10.1007_s00184-021-00852-z
    DOI: 10.1007/s00184-021-00852-z
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Elham Basiri & Jafar Ahmadi & Mohammad Z. Raqab, 2016. "Comparison among non parametric prediction intervals of order statistics," Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(9), pages 2699-2713, May.
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    5. Sundt, Bjørn & Jewell, William S., 1981. "Further Results on Recursive Evaluation of Compound Distributions," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(1), pages 27-39, June.
    6. El-Adll, Magdy E., 2011. "Predicting future lifetime based on random number of three parameters Weibull distribution," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 81(9), pages 1842-1854.
    7. Saieed Ateya, 2014. "Maximum likelihood estimation under a finite mixture of generalized exponential distributions based on censored data," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 311-325, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Jorge Navarro & Francesco Buono, 2023. "Predicting future failure times by using quantile regression," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 86(5), pages 543-576, July.

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