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A Non-local Fokker-Planck Equation with Application to Probabilistic Evaluation of Sediment Replenishment Projects

Author

Listed:
  • Hidekazu Yoshioka

    (Shimane University
    Shimane University)

  • Kunihiko Hamagami

    (Iwate University)

  • Haruka Tomobe

    (Tokyo Institute of Technology)

Abstract

We analyze a new mathematical model to evaluate performance of recent sediment-based environmental restoration projects from a stochastic viewpoint along with applications. We focus on unique jump-driven non-smooth dynamics governing streamflows and sediment storage subject to impulsive human interventions to replenish the sediment. We derive a non-local Fokker-Planck equation (FPE) governing the probability density of the coupled streamflow-sediment dynamics, which is a unique hyperbolic integro-partial differential equation subject to non-smooth coefficients and non-local boundary conditions. It admits measure-valued solutions. We propose a simple conservative discretization method of the FPE and verify it against Monte-Carlo simulation. The stationary probability density turns out to be singular along a boundary due to the non-smoothness and non-locality, which are effectively captured by the proposed numerical scheme. Based on public and experimental data, we finally apply the proposed model to numerical evaluation of replenishment strategies from a viewpoint of nuisance algae bloom.

Suggested Citation

  • Hidekazu Yoshioka & Kunihiko Hamagami & Haruka Tomobe, 2023. "A Non-local Fokker-Planck Equation with Application to Probabilistic Evaluation of Sediment Replenishment Projects," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 25(1), pages 1-37, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:metcap:v:25:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1007_s11009-023-10006-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s11009-023-10006-5
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