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Analysis of uncertain SIS epidemic model with nonlinear incidence and demography

Author

Listed:
  • Zhiming Li

    (Xinjiang University)

  • Zhidong Teng

    (Xinjiang University)

Abstract

Based on uncertainty theory, this paper studies an uncertain SIS epidemic model with nonlinear incidence and demography. The solution, $$\alpha $$ α -paths and uncertainty distribution of uncertain model are discussed. Under threshold conditions, extinction and permanence of the disease are studied by $$\alpha $$ α -paths, which reveal the relationship of deterministic and uncertain models. An example is given to illustrate the above results.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhiming Li & Zhidong Teng, 2019. "Analysis of uncertain SIS epidemic model with nonlinear incidence and demography," Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making, Springer, vol. 18(4), pages 475-491, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:fuzodm:v:18:y:2019:i:4:d:10.1007_s10700-019-09303-x
    DOI: 10.1007/s10700-019-09303-x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Wei, Fengying & Chen, Fangxiang, 2016. "Stochastic permanence of an SIQS epidemic model with saturated incidence and independent random perturbations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 453(C), pages 99-107.
    2. Lahrouz, Aadil & Omari, Lahcen, 2013. "Extinction and stationary distribution of a stochastic SIRS epidemic model with non-linear incidence," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 83(4), pages 960-968.
    3. Tornatore, Elisabetta & Maria Buccellato, Stefania & Vetro, Pasquale, 2005. "Stability of a stochastic SIR system," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 354(C), pages 111-126.
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    Cited by:

    1. Lifen Jia & Wei Chen, 2021. "Uncertain SEIAR model for COVID-19 cases in China," Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 243-259, June.
    2. Xiaowei Chen & Jing Li & Chen Xiao & Peilin Yang, 2021. "Numerical solution and parameter estimation for uncertain SIR model with application to COVID-19," Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 189-208, June.
    3. Chen, Wei & Teng, Zhidong & Zhang, Long, 2021. "Global dynamics for a drug-sensitive and drug-resistant mixed strains of HIV infection model with saturated incidence and distributed delays," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 406(C).

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