IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/futbus/v8y2022i1d10.1186_s43093-022-00143-7.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Earnings surprise and share price of firms in Nigeria

Author

Listed:
  • Sebastine Abhus Ogbaisi

    (Glorious Vision University (Formerly Samuel Adegboyega University))

  • Eyesan Leslie Dabor

    (University of Benin)

  • Okun Omokhoje Omokhudu

    (University of Benin)

Abstract

This study examines earnings surprise and share price of firms in Nigeria. It sought to evaluate the impact of earnings surprise in predicting share price of firms. The paper employed the Ohlson valuation model and variants of the model to ascertain the impact of earnings surprise on share price. The sample consisted of 76 listed firms over the period 2010–2020. The study reveals that earnings surprise has a negative insignificant impact on share price. The study further reveals that with the interaction of earnings surprise with the bottom line metrics of book value per share and earnings per share, earnings surprise also has a negative insignificant impact on share price of firms, respectively. The paper provides fact that earnings surprise interacts with book value per share and earnings per share in determining share price. This paper also presents evidence to the fact that investors are not just concerned with the magnitude of book value per share and earnings per share but are also concerned with the quality of the earnings in terms of its surprise. This paper further presents evidence to the fact that investors do not consider magnitude and surprise of earnings in isolation. Rather, the decision is influenced by the fusion of the magnitude and the surprise of the metric.

Suggested Citation

  • Sebastine Abhus Ogbaisi & Eyesan Leslie Dabor & Okun Omokhoje Omokhudu, 2022. "Earnings surprise and share price of firms in Nigeria," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 1-11, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:futbus:v:8:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1186_s43093-022-00143-7
    DOI: 10.1186/s43093-022-00143-7
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1186/s43093-022-00143-7
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1186/s43093-022-00143-7?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Liping Zou & Ruishan Chen, 2017. "Earnings Surprises, Investor Sentiments and Contrarian Strategies," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(1), pages 133-143.
    2. Kothari, S.P. & Lewellen, Jonathan & Warner, Jerold B., 2006. "Stock returns, aggregate earnings surprises, and behavioral finance," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(3), pages 537-568, March.
    3. Casey, K Mike, et al, 1999. "Examining the Impact of the 1986 Tax Reform Act on Corporate Dividend Policy: A New Methodology," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 34(3), pages 33-46, August.
    4. Fahd Alduais, 2020. "An empirical study of the earnings–returns association: an evidence from China’s A-share market," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 6(1), pages 1-12, December.
    5. Sadia Anjum, 2020. "Impact of market anomalies on stock exchange: a comparative study of KSE and PSX," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 6(1), pages 1-11, December.
    6. Malthus Timothy Ekpe & Rosemary Obiageri Obasi & Sadiq Rabiu Abdullahi & Umar Aliyu Mustapha & Norfadzilah Rashid, 2020. "Earnings Surprises and Stock Price Reactions of Quoted Companies in Nigeria," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 11(4), pages 306-315, July.
    7. Papavassiliou, Vassilios G. & Kinateder, Harald, 2021. "Information shares and market quality before and during the European sovereign debt crisis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    8. Omar Zuhier Abdul-Karim AL-Shar & Qiu Dongfang, 2017. "Evaluations on the Earning Quality of Listed Firms in Jordan," International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, vol. 7(4), pages 21-32, October.
    9. Okuns Omokhoje Omokhudu & Peter Okoeguale Ibadin, 2015. "The Value Relevance of Accounting Information: Evidence from Nigeria," Accounting and Finance Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 4(3), pages 1-20, August.
    10. Nyanine Chuele Fonou-Dombeu & Josue Mbonigaba & Odunayo Magret Olarewaju & Bomi Cyril Nomlala, 2022. "Earnings quality measures and stock return volatility in South Africa," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 1-15, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Mohammad Arashi & Mohammad Mahdi Rounaghi, 2022. "Analysis of market efficiency and fractal feature of NASDAQ stock exchange: Time series modeling and forecasting of stock index using ARMA-GARCH model," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 1-12, December.
    2. Krishnamurti, Chandrasekhar & Chowdhury, Hasibul & Han, Hien Duc, 2021. "CEO centrality and stock price crash risk," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    3. Grupp, Marcel & Rauch, Christian & Umber, Marc P. & Walz, Uwe, 2015. "The influence of leveraged buyouts on target firms' competitors," SAFE Working Paper Series 99, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    4. Jorgensen, Bjorn & Li, Jing & Sadka, Gil, 2012. "Earnings dispersion and aggregate stock returns," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(1), pages 1-20.
    5. Mark Wong & Adrian Wai Kong Cheung & Wei Hu, 2021. "When two anomalies meet: Volume and timing effects on earnings announcements," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 56(2), pages 355-380, May.
    6. Gil Sadka, 2007. "Understanding Stock Price Volatility: The Role of Earnings," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(1), pages 199-228, March.
    7. An, Zhe & Li, Donghui & Yu, Jin, 2016. "Earnings management, capital structure, and the role of institutional environments," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 131-152.
    8. Singh, Bharati, 2021. "A Bibliometric Analysis of Behavioral Finance and Behavioral Accounting," American Business Review, Pompea College of Business, University of New Haven, vol. 24(2), pages 198-230, November.
    9. Kang, Wensheng & Ratti, Ronald A. & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2019. "Revising the Impact of Global Commodity Prices and Global Stock Market Volatility Shocks: Effects across Countries," MPRA Paper 103035, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Titilope Esther Olorede & Segun Abogun & Johnson Kolawole Olowookere, 2022. "Executive Compensation, Corporate Governance and Financial Reporting Quality: Evidence from listed firms in Nigeria," Istanbul Management Journal, Istanbul University Business School, vol. 0(93), pages 1-19, December.
    11. Seppo Kari & Hanna Karikallio & Jukka Pirttilä, 2008. "Anticipating Tax Changes: Evidence from the Finnish Corporate Income Tax Reform of 2005," Fiscal Studies, Institute for Fiscal Studies, vol. 29(2), pages 167-196, June.
    12. Maria Ogneva, 2013. "Discussion of What Do Management Earnings Forecasts Convey About the Macroeconomy?," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 51(2), pages 267-279, May.
    13. Stefan Nagel & Zhengyang Xu, 2022. "Asset Pricing with Fading Memory," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 35(5), pages 2190-2245.
    14. Kent Daniel & David Hirshleifer & Lin Sun, 2020. "Short- and Long-Horizon Behavioral Factors," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 33(4), pages 1673-1736.
    15. Ryan T. Ball & Lindsey Gallo & Eric Ghysels, 2019. "Tilting the evidence: the role of firm-level earnings attributes in the relation between aggregated earnings and gross domestic product," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 570-592, June.
    16. Panos Patatoukas & Hongjun Yan, 2009. "The Impact of Earnings Surprises on Stock Returns: Theory and Evidence," Yale School of Management Working Papers amz2517, Yale School of Management.
    17. Chue, Timothy K. & Xu, Jin Karen, 2022. "Profitability, asset investment, and aggregate stock returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    18. Boudoukh, Jacob & Israel, Ronen & Richardson, Matthew, 2022. "Biases in long-horizon predictive regressions," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(3), pages 937-969.
    19. Sanjay Sehgal & Kumar Bijoy, 2015. "Stock Price Reactions to Earnings Announcements: Evidence from India," Vision, , vol. 19(1), pages 25-36, March.
    20. Kothari, S.P. & Ramanna, Karthik & Skinner, Douglas J., 2010. "Implications for GAAP from an analysis of positive research in accounting," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(2-3), pages 246-286, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:futbus:v:8:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1186_s43093-022-00143-7. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.