IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/finsto/v23y2019i1d10.1007_s00780-018-00381-0.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A paradox in time-consistency in the mean–variance problem?

Author

Listed:
  • Alain Bensoussan

    (The University of Texas at Dallas
    City University of Hong Kong)

  • Kwok Chuen Wong

    (Dublin City University)

  • Sheung Chi Phillip Yam

    (Chinese University of Hong Kong)

Abstract

We establish new conditions under which a constrained (no short-selling) time-consistent equilibrium strategy, starting at a certain time, will beat the unconstrained counterpart, as measured by the magnitude of their corresponding equilibrium mean–variance value functions. We further show that the pure strategy of solely investing in a risk-free bond can sometimes simultaneously dominate both constrained and unconstrained equilibrium strategies. With numerical experiments, we also illustrate that the constrained strategy can dominate the unconstrained one for most of the commencement dates (even more than 90%) of a prescribed planning horizon. Under a precommitment approach, the value function of an investor increases with the size of the admissible sets of strategies. However, this may fail to be true under the game-theoretic paradigm, as the constraint of time-consistency itself affects the value function differently when short-selling is and is not prohibited.

Suggested Citation

  • Alain Bensoussan & Kwok Chuen Wong & Sheung Chi Phillip Yam, 2019. "A paradox in time-consistency in the mean–variance problem?," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 23(1), pages 173-207, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:finsto:v:23:y:2019:i:1:d:10.1007_s00780-018-00381-0
    DOI: 10.1007/s00780-018-00381-0
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s00780-018-00381-0
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s00780-018-00381-0?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Karp, Larry, 2007. "Non-constant discounting in continuous time," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 132(1), pages 557-568, January.
    2. R. H. Strotz, 1955. "Myopia and Inconsistency in Dynamic Utility Maximization," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 23(3), pages 165-180.
    3. Tomas Björk & Agatha Murgoci, 2014. "A theory of Markovian time-inconsistent stochastic control in discrete time," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 18(3), pages 545-592, July.
    4. Bezalel Peleg & Menahem E. Yaari, 1973. "On the Existence of a Consistent Course of Action when Tastes are Changing," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 40(3), pages 391-401.
    5. Suleyman Basak & Georgy Chabakauri, 2010. "Dynamic Mean-Variance Asset Allocation," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 23(8), pages 2970-3016, August.
    6. Cui, Xiangyu & Li, Duan & Shi, Yun, 2017. "Self-coordination in time inconsistent stochastic decision problems: A planner–doer game framework," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 91-113.
    7. Christopher Harris & David Laibson, 2013. "Instantaneous Gratification," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 128(1), pages 205-248.
    8. E. S. Phelps & R. A. Pollak, 1968. "On Second-Best National Saving and Game-Equilibrium Growth," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 35(2), pages 185-199.
    9. Marín-Solano, Jesús & Navas, Jorge, 2010. "Consumption and portfolio rules for time-inconsistent investors," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 201(3), pages 860-872, March.
    10. Wang, J. & Forsyth, P.A., 2011. "Continuous time mean variance asset allocation: A time-consistent strategy," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 209(2), pages 184-201, March.
    11. repec:dau:papers:123456789/11473 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Christoph Czichowsky, 2013. "Time-consistent mean-variance portfolio selection in discrete and continuous time," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 17(2), pages 227-271, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Xue Dong He & Xun Yu Zhou, 2021. "Who Are I: Time Inconsistency and Intrapersonal Conflict and Reconciliation," Papers 2105.01829, arXiv.org.
    2. Tomas Björk & Mariana Khapko & Agatha Murgoci, 2017. "On time-inconsistent stochastic control in continuous time," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 331-360, April.
    3. Marcel Nutz & Yuchong Zhang, 2019. "Conditional Optimal Stopping: A Time-Inconsistent Optimization," Papers 1901.05802, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2019.
    4. Camilo Hern'andez & Dylan Possamai, 2020. "Me, myself and I: a general theory of non-Markovian time-inconsistent stochastic control for sophisticated agents," Papers 2002.12572, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2021.
    5. Zhao, Qian & Shen, Yang & Wei, Jiaqin, 2014. "Consumption–investment strategies with non-exponential discounting and logarithmic utility," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 238(3), pages 824-835.
    6. Li, Yongwu & Qiao, Han & Wang, Shouyang & Zhang, Ling, 2015. "Time-consistent investment strategy under partial information," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 187-197.
    7. Ishak Alia & Farid Chighoub & Nabil Khelfallah & Josep Vives, 2021. "Time-Consistent Investment and Consumption Strategies under a General Discount Function," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-27, February.
    8. Bingyan Han & Chi Seng Pun & Hoi Ying Wong, 2023. "Robust Time-inconsistent Linear-Quadratic Stochastic Controls: A Stochastic Differential Game Approach," Papers 2306.16982, arXiv.org.
    9. Cui, Xiangyu & Gao, Jianjun & Shi, Yun & Zhu, Shushang, 2019. "Time-consistent and self-coordination strategies for multi-period mean-Conditional Value-at-Risk portfolio selection," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 276(2), pages 781-789.
    10. De Gennaro Aquino, Luca & Sornette, Didier & Strub, Moris S., 2023. "Portfolio selection with exploration of new investment assets," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 310(2), pages 773-792.
    11. Chi Kin Lam & Yuhong Xu & Guosheng Yin, 2016. "Dynamic portfolio selection without risk-free assets," Papers 1602.04975, arXiv.org.
    12. Fahrenwaldt, Matthias Albrecht & Jensen, Ninna Reitzel & Steffensen, Mogens, 2020. "Nonrecursive separation of risk and time preferences," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 95-108.
    13. Bosserhoff, Frank & Stadje, Mitja, 2021. "Time-consistent mean-variance investment with unit linked life insurance contracts in a jump-diffusion setting," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 130-146.
    14. Tyson, Christopher J., 2008. "Management of a capital stock by Strotz's naive planner," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(7), pages 2214-2239, July.
    15. Li, Yongwu & Li, Zhongfei, 2013. "Optimal time-consistent investment and reinsurance strategies for mean–variance insurers with state dependent risk aversion," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(1), pages 86-97.
    16. Takeo Hori & Koichi Futagami, 2019. "A Non‐unitary Discount Rate Model," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 86(341), pages 139-165, January.
    17. Frank Bosserhoff & Mitja Stadje, 2019. "Mean-variance hedging of unit linked life insurance contracts in a jump-diffusion model," Papers 1908.05534, arXiv.org.
    18. Liya Liu & Yingjie Niu & Yuanping Wang & Jinqiang Yang, 2020. "Optimal consumption with time-inconsistent preferences," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 70(3), pages 785-815, October.
    19. Doruk Cetemen & Felix Zhiyu Feng & Can Urgun, 2019. "Contracting with Non-Exponential Discounting: Moral Hazard and Dynamic Inconsistency," Working Papers 2019-17, Princeton University. Economics Department..
    20. Ebert, Sebastian & Wei, Wei & Zhou, Xun Yu, 2020. "Weighted discounting—On group diversity, time-inconsistency, and consequences for investment," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Time-consistency; Mean–variance; State-dependent risk-aversion; Equilibrium strategy; Short-selling prohibition;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C72 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Noncooperative Games
    • C73 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Stochastic and Dynamic Games; Evolutionary Games
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:finsto:v:23:y:2019:i:1:d:10.1007_s00780-018-00381-0. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.