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Nonlinear optimal control of coupled time-delayed models of economic growth

Author

Listed:
  • G. Rigatos

    (Unit of Industrial Automation Industrial Systems Institute)

  • P. Siano

    (University of Salerno)

  • M. Abbaszadeh

    (GE Global Research General Electric)

  • T. Ghosh

    (IGIDR Inst. of Devel. Research)

Abstract

The article proposes a novel nonlinear optimal control method for the dynamics of coupled time-delayed models of economic growth. Distributed and interacting capital–labor models of economic growth are considered. Such models comprise as main variables the accumulated physical capital and labor. The interaction terms between the local models are related to the transfer of capitals between the individual economies. Each model is also characterized by time delays between its state variables and its outputs. To implement the proposed control method, the state-space description of the interconnected growth models undergoes approximate linearization around a temporary operating point which is updated at each iteration of the control algorithm. This linearization point is defined by the present value of the system’s state vector and by the last sampled value of the control inputs vector. The linearization process relies on first-order Taylor series expansion and on the computation of the related Jacobian matrices. For the approximately linearized state-space description of the coupled time-delayed growth models, a stabilizing H-infinity (optimal) controller is designed. This controller provides the solution to the nonlinear optimal control problem for the coupled time-delayed growth models under uncertainty and perturbations. To compute the stabilizing gains of the H-infinity feedback controller, an algebraic Riccati equation is solved repetitively at each iteration of the control algorithm. The global stability properties of the proposed control scheme for the coupled time-delayed models of economic growth are proven through Lyapunov analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • G. Rigatos & P. Siano & M. Abbaszadeh & T. Ghosh, 2021. "Nonlinear optimal control of coupled time-delayed models of economic growth," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 44(1), pages 375-399, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:decfin:v:44:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1007_s10203-021-00327-w
    DOI: 10.1007/s10203-021-00327-w
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Matsumoto, Akio & Szidarovszky, Ferenc, 2020. "Delay growth model augmented with physical and human capitals," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
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    3. G. Rigatos & P. Siano & T. Ghosh, 2019. "A Nonlinear Optimal Control Approach to Stabilization of Business Cycles of Finance Agents," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 53(3), pages 1111-1131, March.
    4. Liao, Xiaofeng & Li, Chuandong & Zhou, Shangbo, 2005. "Hopf bifurcation and chaos in macroeconomic models with policy lag," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 91-108.
    5. Gómez, Manuel A., 2015. "Capital–labor substitution and long-run growth in a model with physical and human capital," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 106-113.
    6. De Cesare, Luigi & Sportelli, Mario, 2020. "Stability and direction of Hopf bifurcations of a cyclical growth model with two-time delays and one-delay dependent coefficients," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    7. Cao, Jinde & Guerrini, Luca & Cheng, Zunshui, 2019. "Stability and Hopf bifurcation of controlled complex networks model with two delays," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 343(C), pages 21-29.
    8. Guerrini, Luca, 2006. "The Solow-Swan model with a bounded population growth rate," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 14-21, February.
    9. Luca Guerrini & Adam Krawiec & Marek Szydlowski, 2020. "Bifurcations in economic growth model with distributed time delay transformed to ODE," Papers 2002.05016, arXiv.org.
    10. Rafael Saulo Marques Ribeiro & Alex Wilhans Antonio Palludeto, 2016. "A neo-Kaleckian model of capital accumulation, income distribution and financial fragility," Economia, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], vol. 17(3), pages 279-290.
    11. G. Rigatos & P. Siano & V. Loia & T. Ghosh & A. Krawiec, 2018. "Nonlinear optimal control for a business cycles macroeconomic model of linked economies," Cyber-Physical Systems, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(2), pages 116-136, April.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Capital–labor growth model; Coupled growth models; Solow growth models; Time delays; Nonlinear optimal control; Differential flatness properties; H-infinity control; Approximate linearization; Jacobian matrices; Lyapunov analysis; Global asymptotic stability;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C3 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • C62 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Existence and Stability Conditions of Equilibrium
    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • C71 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Cooperative Games
    • D51 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Exchange and Production Economies
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • J01 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - General - - - Labor Economics: General
    • L00 - Industrial Organization - - General - - - General
    • M21 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Business Economics - - - Business Economics
    • M54 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Personnel Economics - - - Labor Management

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