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Reducing doubt about uncertainty: Guidance for IPCC’s third assessment

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  • Richard Moss

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  • Richard Moss, 2011. "Reducing doubt about uncertainty: Guidance for IPCC’s third assessment," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 108(4), pages 641-658, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:108:y:2011:i:4:p:641-658
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-011-0182-x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Arnulf Grübler & Nebojsa Nakicenovic, 2001. "Identifying dangers in an uncertain climate," Nature, Nature, vol. 412(6842), pages 15-15, July.
    2. Robert Lempert & Michael E. Schlesinger, 2001. "Climate-change strategy needs to be robust," Nature, Nature, vol. 412(6845), pages 375-375, July.
    3. Suraje Dessai & Mike Hulme, 2004. "Does climate adaptation policy need probabilities?," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(2), pages 107-128, June.
    4. Jim Giles, 2002. "When doubt is a sure thing," Nature, Nature, vol. 418(6897), pages 476-478, August.
    5. Rob Swart & Lenny Bernstein & Minh Ha-Duong & Arthur Petersen, 2009. "Agreeing to disagree: uncertainty management in assessing climate change, impacts and responses by the IPCC," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 92(1), pages 1-29, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Torres, Cati & Faccioli, Michela & Riera Font, Antoni, 2017. "Waiting or acting now? The effect on willingness-to-pay of delivering inherent uncertainty information in choice experiments," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 231-240.
    2. Casey Helgeson & Richard Bradley & Brian Hill, 2018. "Combining probability with qualitative degree-of-certainty metrics in assessment," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 149(3), pages 517-525, August.
    3. Gary Yohe & Michael Oppenheimer, 2011. "Evaluation, characterization, and communication of uncertainty by the intergovernmental panel on climate change—an introductory essay," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 108(4), pages 629-639, October.
    4. Robin Gregory & Theresa Satterfield & David R. Boyd, 2020. "People, Pipelines, and Probabilities: Clarifying Significance and Uncertainty in Environmental Impact Assessments," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(2), pages 218-226, February.
    5. Rosemarie McMahon & Michael Stauffacher & Reto Knutti, 2015. "The unseen uncertainties in climate change: reviewing comprehension of an IPCC scenario graph," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 133(2), pages 141-154, November.

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