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Czy niski udział płac w PKB prowadzi do stagnacji? Hipoteza niedostatecznego popytu konsumpcyjnego

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  • Adam Koronowski

Abstract

Przedmiotem artykułu jest hipoteza niedostatecznego popytu konsumpcyjnego, stanowiąca szczególną formę koncepcji ograniczenia popytowego. W ostatnich dekadach w krajach rozwiniętych rosną nierówności dochodowe, przede wszystkim następuje spadek udziału płac w PKB. Zgodnie z tradycyjnym ujęciem dochody płacowe stanowią podstawowe źródło finansowania wydatków konsumpcyjnych, a spadający udział płac znajduje odzwierciedlenie w spadku udziału konsumpcji lub w rozwoju nietrwałych form finansowania konsumpcji kredytem. W konsekwencji wysokie dochody kapitałowe nie mogą znaleźć ujścia w inwestycjach w rozwój aparatu wytwórczego; w gospodarce pojawiają się silne tendencje stagnacyjne. Ponieważ realia współczesnej gospodarki odpowiadają mechanizmom właściwym hipotezie niedostatecznego popytu, zyskuje ona na znaczeniu i warta jest uważnej analizy. Artykuł przedstawia ujęcia i interpretacje omawianej hipotezy i bliskich jej teorii wzrostu i równowagi w historii myśli ekonomicznej od czasów wczesnych klasyków po współczesność. Ten przegląd wskazuje, że hipoteza niedostatecznego popytu zawsze stanowiła – mimo swej pozornej prostoty i rzeczywistej rangi – wyzwanie dla ekonomistów i do dziś nie została właściwie przyswojona. Końcowa część artykułu poświęcona jest wyjaśnieniu trudności ze statystyczną weryfikacją (warunkowym potwierdzeniem lub falsyfikacją) hipotezy.

Suggested Citation

  • Adam Koronowski, 2018. "Czy niski udział płac w PKB prowadzi do stagnacji? Hipoteza niedostatecznego popytu konsumpcyjnego," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 4, pages 5-34.
    • Handle: RePEc:sgh:gosnar:y:2018:i:4:p:5-34
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    struktura dochodów; podkonsumpcja; ograniczenie popytowe; stagnacja;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • B22 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - History of Economic Thought since 1925 - - - Macroeconomics
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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