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Modelling High-intensity Crime Areas in English Cities

Author

Listed:
  • Massimo Craglia

    (Department of Town and Regional Planning and Sheffield Centre for Geographical Information and Spatial Analysis, University of Sheffield, Sheffield S10 2TN, UK, gisdata@sheffi eld.ac.uk)

  • Robert Haining

    (Department of Geography, University of Cambridge, Downing Site, Cambridge CB2 3EN, UK, rph26@cam.ac.uk)

  • Paola Signoretta

    (Sheffield Centre for Geographical Irformation and Spatial Analysis, University of Sheffield, Sheffield S10 2TN, UK, p.e.signoretta@sheffield.ac.uk)

Abstract

Police forces responsible for large metropolitan areas in England and Wales have claimed that within certain parts of their urban areas there exist high-intensity crime areas (HIAs). These are areas that raise special policing problems because of the particularly violent forms of crime sometimes found within them and because of the unwillingness or inability of the resident population to co-operate fully with the police in part because of fears for their own safety. A sample of metropolitan police forces was asked to identify the location of their HIAs and this paper reports the results of a GIS-based spatial analysis to try and model the location of these areas using census data. Three police force areas were used to develop the model. This was subsequently validated against a further set of HIA data from different police forces. The model suggests that HIAs are characterised by populations that are deprived and live at high density, and by higher levels of population turnover.

Suggested Citation

  • Massimo Craglia & Robert Haining & Paola Signoretta, 2001. "Modelling High-intensity Crime Areas in English Cities," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 38(11), pages 1921-1941, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:urbstu:v:38:y:2001:i:11:p:1921-1941
    DOI: 10.1080/00420980120080853
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Robert Haining & Stephen Wise & Jingsheng Ma, 2000. "Designing and implementing software for spatial statistical analysis in a GIS environment," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 2(3), pages 257-286, September.
    2. J. H. Ratcliffe & M. J. McCullagh, 1999. "Hotbeds of crime and the search for spatial accuracy," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 1(4), pages 385-398, December.
    3. R G Coyle & J D W Morecroft, 1999. "Guest Editor's Introduction," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 50(4), pages 294-294, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Robert Haining & Jane Law, 2007. "Combining police perceptions with police records of serious crime areas: a modelling approach," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 170(4), pages 1019-1034, October.

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